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Orix Buffaloes v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Orix Buffaloes (Local)
Prediction 58.26%1.72fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.910%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.32%58.13%58.14%59.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.621.6964.52%61.26%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 41.74%2.40fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -0.815%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.26%41.87%41.86%44.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.222.252.3548.08%44.96%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orix Buffaloes (Local): 58.26%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 41.74%. For Orix Buffaloes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.69, with an expected value of -1.54%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.54%E -0.910%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-05 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.54%E -0.910%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-05 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -2.12%E -1.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -13.18%E -6.34%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 03:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -2.12%E -1.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -13.18%E -6.34%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 03:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -2.12%E -1.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -13.18%E -6.34%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 03:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -2.12%E -1.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -13.18%E -6.34%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 03:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -2.12%E -1.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -13.18%E -6.34%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 03:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -2.12%E -1.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -13.18%E -6.34%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 03:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -2.70%E -1.62%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -4.42%E -1.93%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-06 03:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -3.29%E -1.98%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -2.33%E -0.997%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 03:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.29%E -1.98%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -7.76%E -3.51%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 03:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.87%E -2.34%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.91%E -0.815%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 01:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.45%E -2.71%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.25%E -2.31%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 01:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -5.03%E -3.09%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.33%E -0.997%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 02:03 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.17%E -1.37%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 01:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 03:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 03:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 03:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 01:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 13:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.62%E -3.47%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-05 23:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 01:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 01:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 03:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.09%E -2.71%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-05 14:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.82%EV -6.51%E -2.90%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 01:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 01:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 03:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 13:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 13:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.20%E -3.85%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 13:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 01:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.78%E -4.24%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.18%E -3.72%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -8.53%E -5.43%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -10.26%E -4.77%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-06 03:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.69%E -6.25%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.00%E -1.74%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 01:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.