The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Orix Buffaloes v Chiba Lotte Marines

Kickoff: 2026-07-24 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Orix Buffaloes (Local)

Prediction 52.45%1.91fair odd
EV +0.182%
Edge +0.095%
Kelly +0.199%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%52.50%52.46%56.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.781.791.9158.82%56.02%55.87%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)

Prediction 47.55%2.10fair odd
EV +4.13%
Edge +1.89%
Kelly +3.47%
Growth +0.143%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.85%47.50%47.54%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.992.002.1954.64%50.36%50.00%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orix Buffaloes (Local): 52.45%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 47.55%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.19, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -10.31%E -6.03%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV +4.13%E +1.89%K +3.47%G +0.143%4.1%2026-07-23 16:54
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -9.78%E -5.69%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -0.147%E -0.070%K -0.134%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 08:40
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -10.31%E -6.03%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -0.147%E -0.070%K -0.134%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 13:38
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -2.97%E -1.60%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.52%E -1.23%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-24 08:35
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.52%E -1.23%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-24 08:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.59%E -3.10%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.52%E -1.23%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 08:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.59%E -3.10%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.52%E -1.23%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-24 08:25
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.64%E -3.73%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -2.52%E -1.23%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-24 08:55
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.83%E -6.37%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.52%E -1.23%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 22:14
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.54%E -2.49%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 08:55
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.54%E -2.49%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 08:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.11%E -3.41%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.11%E -3.41%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.11%E -3.41%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.11%E -3.41%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 08:55
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.11%E -3.41%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 08:55
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -6.11%E -3.41%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 08:55
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.26%E -5.35%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.26%E -5.35%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.26%E -5.35%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 08:49
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -10.31%E -6.03%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 08:50
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-24 08:55
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 08:50
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.59%E -3.10%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 08:55
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.59%E -3.10%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 08:55
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.59%E -3.10%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.59%E -3.10%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 08:55
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.16%E -4.05%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.21%E -4.69%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-24 08:55
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.01%E -2.19%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 08:55
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.59%E -3.10%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 08:55
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.59%E -3.10%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.66%E -5.08%K -10.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 08:50
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV +0.182%E +0.095%K +0.199%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -11.08%E -5.93%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 08:55
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.92%E -1.02%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.08%E -5.93%K -12.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-24 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -8.74%E -5.02%K -11.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.20%EV -11.08%E -5.93%K -12.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-24 08:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.69%EV -10.31%E -6.03%K -14.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.31%EV -12.99%E -7.10%K -15.65%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-24 08:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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