Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Yomiuri Giants

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prediction 55.98%1.79fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.83%56.00%55.96%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.671.7561.73%59.34%59.88%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yomiuri Giants (Visit)

Prediction 44.02%2.27fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.00%44.04%46.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.2150.00%46.65%46.51%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 55.98%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 44.02%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.75, with an expected value of -2.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -2.04%E -1.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -3.60%E -1.64%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-30 04:40
BetUS🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -2.04%E -1.16%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -10.20%E -5.00%K -9.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 04:40
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -2.72%E -1.23%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-29 14:19
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.16%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 14:48
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.16%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.16%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 15:29
William Hill🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.60%E -1.64%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 15:39
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 17:58
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.27%E -2.50%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 16:49
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.48%E -2.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 17:40
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.83%E -2.84%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 17:39
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.39%E -3.19%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.04%E -1.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 16:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -5.39%E -3.19%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -6.24%E -2.93%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 16:58
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.39%E -3.19%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 16:46
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.16%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 14:17
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.04%E -1.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 04:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.04%E -1.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 04:10
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.04%E -1.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 04:10
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.04%E -1.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 04:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.04%E -1.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 04:10
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.04%E -1.85%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 04:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 14:49
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.36%E -2.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 23:29
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 16:49
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 04:10
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 14:49
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 14:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 14:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.51%E -3.90%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 14:49
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.63%E -4.63%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 19:28
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.63%E -4.63%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.56%E -3.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 23:38
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.31%E -5.75%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -11.96%E -5.98%K -11.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-30 04:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.