The School of Odds
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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

Kickoff: 2026-06-11 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prediction 50.54%1.98fair odd
EV +0.072%
Edge +0.036%
Kelly +0.074%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.30%50.29%51.05%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.881.901.9858.14%53.28%52.77%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)

Prediction 49.46%2.02fair odd
EV -0.094%
Edge -0.046%
Kelly -0.092%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%49.71%48.95%52.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.881.902.0257.14%53.07%52.63%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 50.54%; Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit): 49.46%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.979. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.980, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.072%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV +0.072%E +0.036%K +0.074%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -10.97%E -6.10%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-11 02:10
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.44%E -0.741%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.51%E -4.02%K -8.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 08:49
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.44%E -0.741%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.97%E -6.10%K -13.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-11 02:19
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -1.44%E -0.741%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -13.45%E -7.68%K -17.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-11 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.45%E -1.27%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.50%E -4.60%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 08:40
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.45%E -1.27%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.50%E -4.60%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 08:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.45%E -1.27%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.50%E -4.60%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 08:40
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.45%E -1.27%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.50%E -4.60%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 08:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.45%E -1.27%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.50%E -4.60%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 08:40
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -2.45%E -1.27%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -8.50%E -4.60%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 08:40
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.47%E -1.81%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.53%E -2.90%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 08:09
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -3.47%E -1.81%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.97%E -6.10%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-11 02:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -3.47%E -1.81%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.97%E -6.10%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-11 02:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -3.47%E -1.81%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.97%E -6.10%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-11 02:09
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -3.97%E -2.09%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -3.06%E -1.56%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-11 08:30
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.97%E -2.09%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.17%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 08:50
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.97%E -2.09%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.03%E -3.17%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 08:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.48%E -2.37%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.55%E -2.35%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 08:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.48%E -2.37%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.55%E -2.35%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 08:40
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -4.98%E -2.65%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -0.094%E -0.046%K -0.092%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-11 08:40
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.49%E -2.93%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.56%E -1.82%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-11 08:40
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.49%E -2.93%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.51%E -4.02%K -8.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-11 08:50
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.50%E -3.51%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.06%E -1.56%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 08:40
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.51%E -4.10%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.56%E -1.82%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -7.51%E -4.10%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -4.05%E -2.09%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 08:49
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.51%E -4.10%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.53%E -2.90%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-11 08:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.51%E -4.10%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.53%E -2.90%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-11 08:39
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.03%E -5.01%K -11.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.56%E -1.82%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-11 08:40
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.03%E -5.01%K -11.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.56%E -1.82%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-11 08:29
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.03%E -5.01%K -11.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.53%E -2.90%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-11 08:40
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.03%E -5.01%K -11.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.53%E -2.90%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-11 08:40
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.03%E -5.01%K -11.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.03%E -3.17%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-11 08:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -10.54%E -5.96%K -13.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -7.51%E -4.02%K -8.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-11 08:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.41%EV -13.07%E -7.60%K -18.15%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.59%EV -9.99%E -5.49%K -12.18%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-11 08:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.