Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-08-07 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prediction 66.35%1.51fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -5.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.91%66.47%66.27%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.411.411.4774.63%70.70%70.92%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 33.65%2.97fair odd
EV +0.941%
Edge +0.314%
Kelly +0.471%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.19%33.53%33.73%36.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.812.833.0039.22%35.61%35.40%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 66.35%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 33.65%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.941%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.76%E -7.18%K -27.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.941%E +0.314%K +0.471%G +0.004%6.9%2026-08-06 15:09
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV +0.268%E +0.090%K +0.136%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-07 08:50
Coolbet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -6.44%E -4.57%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -1.41%E -0.483%K -0.733%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 08:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.12%E -3.58%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -1.75%E -0.599%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 08:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.12%E -3.58%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -1.75%E -0.599%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 08:44
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -4.45%E -3.09%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -2.09%E -0.717%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-07 08:29
William Hill🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.12%E -3.58%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.42%E -0.836%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 08:39
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.10%E -1.08%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 08:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.10%E -1.08%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 08:55
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.46%E -1.67%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -4.11%E -1.44%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-07 08:45
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.44%E -4.57%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.11%E -1.44%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 08:35
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.44%E -4.57%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.11%E -1.44%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 08:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.44%E -4.57%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.11%E -1.44%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 08:34
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.44%E -4.57%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.11%E -1.44%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 08:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.44%E -4.57%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.11%E -1.44%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 08:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.44%E -4.57%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.11%E -1.44%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 08:34
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -7.77%E -5.59%K -19.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.11%E -1.44%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 08:50
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.79%E -2.61%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.79%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 08:40
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.79%E -2.61%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.79%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 08:40
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.45%E -3.09%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.79%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.79%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 08:40
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -2.46%E -1.67%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 08:54
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.79%E -2.61%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 08:40
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.12%E -3.58%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 08:43
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 08:55
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 08:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 08:55
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.47%E -2.72%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-07 08:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.11%E -5.08%K -17.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 08:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -9.76%E -7.18%K -27.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.50%EV -9.15%E -3.39%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-07 08:49
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.45%E -3.09%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.84%E -4.52%K -7.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-07 08:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 65.99%EV -11.09%E -8.27%K -32.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.01%EV -12.52%E -4.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-07 08:49
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -4.45%E -3.09%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -14.20%E -5.57%K -9.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-07 08:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.