The School of Odds
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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-04-21 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prediction 60.38%1.66fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -4.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.43%60.32%60.30%60.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.561.561.6165.79%63.92%64.10%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 39.62%2.52fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.706%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.13%39.68%39.70%40.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.382.382.4844.44%42.10%42.02%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 60.38%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 39.62%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.48, with an expected value of -1.75%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.78%E -1.73%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.71%E -2.40%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-20 19:55
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -3.39%E -2.12%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -1.75%E -0.706%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-21 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.39%E -2.12%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.15%E -0.870%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-21 05:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -3.39%E -2.12%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.15%E -0.870%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-21 05:10
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -3.39%E -2.12%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -3.73%E -1.54%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-21 08:55
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.39%E -2.12%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.71%E -2.40%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 08:45
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.99%E -2.51%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.94%E -1.20%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-20 12:10
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.59%E -2.91%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.92%E -2.05%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 19:30
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.59%E -2.91%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.92%E -2.05%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 08:35
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.59%E -2.91%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.92%E -2.05%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 08:40
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.59%E -2.91%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.92%E -2.05%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 20:54
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.20%E -3.31%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.92%E -2.05%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 07:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.20%E -3.31%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.90%E -2.94%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 19:25
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.20%E -3.31%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.90%E -2.94%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 08:54
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.20%E -3.31%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.90%E -2.94%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 22:35
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.20%E -3.31%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.88%E -3.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 19:30
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.80%E -3.72%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.90%E -2.94%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 08:05
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.80%E -3.72%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.90%E -2.94%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 12:09
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.80%E -3.72%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.90%E -2.94%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-20 12:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -5.80%E -3.72%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -7.69%E -3.30%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 19:29
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.80%E -3.72%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.88%E -3.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 19:30
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.41%E -4.13%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.71%E -2.40%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.41%E -4.13%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.71%E -2.40%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 14:49
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.41%E -4.13%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.71%E -2.40%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.41%E -4.13%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.71%E -2.40%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.41%E -4.13%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.71%E -2.40%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 14:54
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -6.41%E -4.13%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -5.71%E -2.40%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 14:54
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.41%E -4.13%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.88%E -3.86%K -6.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-20 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.61%E -4.98%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.71%E -2.40%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 12:10
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.61%E -4.98%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.71%E -2.40%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 12:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.61%E -4.98%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.71%E -2.40%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 12:14
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.61%E -4.98%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.90%E -2.94%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 06:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.61%E -4.98%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.86%E -4.83%K -8.69%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.22%E -5.41%K -15.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.90%E -2.94%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 13:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.