Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-09-24 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prediction 62.60%1.60fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -4.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.31%62.69%62.53%64.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.501.501.5670.42%66.78%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 37.40%2.67fair odd
EV -0.902%
Edge -0.340%
Kelly -0.547%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.68%37.31%37.47%38.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.532.502.6544.44%39.54%39.92%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 62.60%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 37.40%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -0.902%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.89%E -1.52%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-24 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.89%E -1.52%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-24 08:55
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -3.15%E -1.21%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-24 08:55
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -5.02%E -1.97%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-24 08:45
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -6.14%E -2.45%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 08:50
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-24 08:55
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.96%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-24 08:55
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.84%E -3.18%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 14:10
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.52%E -1.36%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 06:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -5.76%E -2.29%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-24 06:50
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 08:45
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-23 13:55
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-24 08:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-24 06:45
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-23 14:10
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-23 14:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-23 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-23 14:09
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-24 08:44
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.09%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-23 13:55
Fanatics🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.72%E -4.51%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.25%E -4.27%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-24 08:50
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.35%E -4.96%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.77%E -1.07%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-24 00:35
Fliff🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.35%E -4.96%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-24 08:50
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.35%E -4.96%K -15.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-24 06:44
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.97%E -5.42%K -16.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -0.902%E -0.340%K -0.547%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-23 20:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.97%E -5.42%K -16.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -0.902%E -0.340%K -0.547%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-23 20:05
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.97%E -5.42%K -16.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -0.902%E -0.340%K -0.547%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-23 20:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.97%E -5.42%K -16.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -0.902%E -0.340%K -0.547%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-23 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.97%E -5.42%K -16.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -0.902%E -0.340%K -0.547%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-23 20:05
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.97%E -5.42%K -16.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -0.902%E -0.340%K -0.547%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-23 20:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.22%E -6.36%K -20.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-24 06:44
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.85%E -6.84%K -22.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-24 00:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.60%EV -9.85%E -6.84%K -22.39%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 38.40%EV -13.62%E -5.89%K -10.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-24 08:31
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.31%EV -11.10%E -7.82%K -26.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -15.86%E -7.05%K -12.69%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-24 08:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.