The School of Odds
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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-07-25 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prediction 62.58%1.60fair odd
EV +0.128%
Edge +0.080%
Kelly +0.214%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.59%62.27%62.58%63.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.521.521.6069.93%65.73%65.79%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 37.42%2.67fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -0.894%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.25%37.73%37.42%40.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.472.502.6142.92%40.44%40.00%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 62.58%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 37.42%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.598. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.600, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.128%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV +0.128%E +0.080%K +0.214%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -7.95%E -3.23%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 04:55
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -1.12%E -0.711%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -12.81%E -5.50%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 04:55
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -1.75%E -1.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -6.82%E -2.74%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 04:55
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.75%E -1.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.06%E -5.13%K -8.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 04:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -1.75%E -1.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -12.81%E -5.50%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 04:55
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -1.75%E -1.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -12.81%E -5.50%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 04:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -1.75%E -1.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -12.81%E -5.50%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 04:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -1.75%E -1.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -12.81%E -5.50%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 04:55
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -1.75%E -1.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -12.81%E -5.50%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 04:55
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.37%E -1.52%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -8.32%E -3.40%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 04:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.63%E -2.35%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.33%E -0.894%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 04:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.63%E -2.35%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.33%E -0.894%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-25 04:55
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -3.63%E -2.35%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -4.21%E -1.64%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 04:55
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.25%E -2.78%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.71%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-25 04:35
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.25%E -2.78%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.46%E -1.34%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 04:20
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.25%E -2.78%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.19%E -4.25%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 02:34
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.88%E -3.21%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.71%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 04:00
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.88%E -3.21%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.71%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 04:44
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.88%E -3.21%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.58%E -1.80%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 04:04
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -5.50%E -3.64%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -10.19%E -4.25%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 04:55
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.13%E -4.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.71%E -1.04%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 04:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.13%E -4.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.58%E -1.80%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 04:39
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.13%E -4.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 04:35
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.13%E -4.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 03:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.13%E -4.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 04:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.13%E -4.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 03:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.13%E -4.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 03:55
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.13%E -4.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 03:09
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.13%E -4.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.19%E -4.25%K -7.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 04:40
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.76%E -4.53%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 04:35
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.38%E -4.99%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 03:50
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.38%E -4.99%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.45%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 03:50
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -7.38%E -4.99%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -8.32%E -3.40%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 03:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.26%E -6.39%K -20.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.58%E -1.80%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 03:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -9.26%E -6.39%K -20.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.19%E -4.25%K -7.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 04:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.97%EV -10.51%E -7.35%K -24.44%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.03%EV -12.81%E -5.50%K -9.63%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-25 04:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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