Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prediction 62.35%1.60fair odd
EV +0.376%
Edge +0.233%
Kelly +0.616%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%62.07%62.65%63.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.521.531.6169.44%65.62%65.36%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 37.65%2.66fair odd
EV +0.162%
Edge +0.061%
Kelly +0.098%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.25%37.93%37.35%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.482.502.6644.44%40.28%40.00%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 62.35%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 37.65%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.60. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.61, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.376%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV +0.376%E +0.233%K +0.616%G +0.002%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -13.39%E -5.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 22:29
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -2.12%E -1.35%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -6.62%E -2.67%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 08:39
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -2.12%E -1.35%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -8.88%E -3.67%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 08:49
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -2.12%E -1.35%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -15.28%E -6.79%K -12.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 22:28
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.74%E -1.76%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -11.51%E -4.90%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 08:48
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.37%E -2.17%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.10%E -0.807%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-20 08:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.37%E -2.17%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.10%E -0.807%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-20 08:39
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -3.37%E -2.17%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -4.36%E -1.72%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 08:29
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.99%E -2.59%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.75%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 08:49
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.99%E -2.59%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.75%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 08:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.99%E -2.59%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.75%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 08:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.99%E -2.59%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.75%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 08:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.99%E -2.59%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.75%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 08:49
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.99%E -2.59%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.75%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 08:49
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -4.61%E -3.01%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV +0.162%E +0.061%K +0.098%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-20 08:29
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.61%E -3.01%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.10%E -0.807%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-20 08:39
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.61%E -3.01%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.10%E -0.807%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-20 08:19
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.61%E -3.01%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.38%E -4.36%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 08:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.61%E -3.01%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.38%E -4.36%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 08:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.61%E -3.01%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.38%E -4.36%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 08:49
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.24%E -3.44%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.10%E -0.807%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 08:49
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.24%E -3.44%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.10%E -0.807%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-20 08:49
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.86%E -3.88%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -2.85%E -1.10%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 08:39
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.86%E -3.88%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.98%E -1.56%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-20 08:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -5.86%E -3.88%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -5.11%E -2.03%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 08:38
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -5.86%E -3.88%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -9.63%E -4.01%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 08:39
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.48%E -4.32%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 08:39
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.48%E -4.32%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 08:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.48%E -4.32%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 08:39
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.48%E -4.32%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.75%E -3.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 08:39
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.11%E -4.77%K -14.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.98%E -1.56%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 08:19
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.73%E -5.22%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 08:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.60%E -6.62%K -21.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -3.98%E -1.56%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 08:39
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.60%E -6.62%K -21.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -3.98%E -1.56%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 08:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.50%EV -10.22%E -7.10%K -23.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -13.39%E -5.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-20 08:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.