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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-07-26 04:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prediction 60.23%1.66fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -4.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.87%60.28%60.23%62.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.561.561.6167.11%64.24%64.31%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 39.77%2.51fair odd
EV +2.60%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.64%
Growth +0.043%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.23%39.72%39.77%41.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.392.382.5845.87%41.92%42.02%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 60.23%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 39.77%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -7.84%E -5.13%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV +2.60%E +1.01%K +1.64%G +0.043%4.1%2026-07-26 03:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -4.83%E -3.06%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -0.186%E -0.074%K -0.123%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-26 03:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -4.83%E -3.06%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -0.186%E -0.074%K -0.123%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-26 03:55
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -6.64%E -4.28%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -1.78%E -0.719%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 03:48
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.23%E -2.66%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.57%E -1.05%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-26 03:44
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.84%E -5.13%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.57%E -1.05%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 03:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.84%E -5.13%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.57%E -1.05%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 03:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.84%E -5.13%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.57%E -1.05%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 03:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.84%E -5.13%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.57%E -1.05%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 03:45
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.84%E -5.13%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.57%E -1.05%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 03:44
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.84%E -5.13%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -2.57%E -1.05%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 03:44
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.02%E -1.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -3.37%E -1.39%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-26 03:49
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -3.77%E -1.56%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-26 03:55
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.83%E -3.06%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.77%E -1.56%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 03:54
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.83%E -3.06%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.56%E -1.90%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 03:44
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.24%E -4.70%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.56%E -1.90%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 03:45
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.84%E -5.13%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.36%E -2.25%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 03:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.84%E -5.13%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.36%E -2.25%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 03:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.84%E -5.13%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.36%E -2.25%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 03:49
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.84%E -5.13%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -5.75%E -2.43%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 03:40
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.02%E -1.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 03:54
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 03:54
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 03:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.43%E -3.46%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 03:44
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 03:44
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 03:45
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -7.24%E -4.70%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 03:54
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.84%E -5.13%K -14.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 03:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.45%E -5.56%K -16.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 03:44
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.23%E -2.66%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 03:49
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.23%E -2.66%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 03:55
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.43%E -3.46%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 03:50
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.04%E -3.87%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 03:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -3.63%E -2.27%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -8.93%E -3.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 03:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.84%EV -9.05%E -5.99%K -17.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.53%E -4.68%K -8.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 03:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.40%EV -10.25%E -6.88%K -20.92%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.60%EV -13.31%E -6.11%K -11.28%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-26 03:43
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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