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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-08-09 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prediction 61.43%1.63fair odd
EV -0.486%
Edge -0.300%
Kelly -0.784%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.70%61.59%61.34%63.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.531.531.6269.44%65.54%65.36%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 38.57%2.59fair odd
EV +0.286%
Edge +0.110%
Kelly +0.179%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.27%38.41%38.66%40.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.462.452.6044.64%40.67%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 61.43%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 38.57%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.286%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -9.09%E -6.14%K -18.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +0.286%E +0.110%K +0.179%G +0.001%6.0%2026-08-09 03:55
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -0.485%E -0.188%K -0.307%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-09 04:45
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -0.485%E -0.188%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 03:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.47%E -5.69%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.64%E -0.644%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 04:05
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.47%E -5.69%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.64%E -0.644%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 04:05
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.47%E -5.69%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.64%E -0.644%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 04:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.47%E -5.69%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.64%E -0.644%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 04:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.47%E -5.69%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.64%E -0.644%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 04:04
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.47%E -5.69%K -17.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.64%E -0.644%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 04:03
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.80%E -1.11%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 04:55
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 04:55
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.40%E -3.51%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 04:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.70%E -6.60%K -20.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 15:44
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -11.54%E -8.02%K -26.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 03:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.63%E -4.36%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -4.34%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 02:49
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.73%E -1.91%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 04:45
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -2.33%E -1.46%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -5.11%E -2.08%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 04:50
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.50%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 04:29
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.50%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 04:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.50%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 02:09
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.50%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 04:48
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -2.94%E -1.86%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -6.27%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-09 04:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -0.486%E -0.300%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-09 04:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -0.486%E -0.300%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-09 04:50
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 04:55
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 04:55
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 04:55
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:09
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 04:54
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 04:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 04:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 04:45
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.01%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.36%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 04:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -9.09%E -6.14%K -18.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -11.29%E -4.91%K -8.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 04:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.54%EV -10.31%E -7.06%K -22.42%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 39.46%EV -13.60%E -6.07%K -10.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 04:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.