Language:English
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Saitama Seibu Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)
Prediction 53.95%1.85fair odd
EV -0.192%
Edge -0.104%
Kelly -0.226%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.82%53.94%53.91%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.751.771.8560.24%57.04%56.50%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)
Prediction 46.05%2.17fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -0.899%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%46.06%46.09%48.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.022.002.1352.63%49.39%50.00%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 53.95%; Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit): 46.05%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.854. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.850, with an expected value of -0.192%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -0.192%E -0.104%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -8.36%E -4.20%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 07:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.34%EV -3.43%E -1.92%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.66%EV -1.91%E -0.899%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-15 08:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -3.43%E -1.92%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -3.76%E -1.80%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 08:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -3.43%E -1.92%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -9.28%E -4.71%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.97%E -2.23%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 08:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-15 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-15 08:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-15 08:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.14%E -2.49%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 08:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 08:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.82%E -4.46%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 08:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -9.28%E -4.71%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-15 08:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -9.28%E -4.71%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-15 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -9.28%E -4.71%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-15 08:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -9.28%E -4.71%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-15 08:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -9.28%E -4.71%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-15 08:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -4.51%E -2.55%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -10.20%E -5.23%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 08:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.05%E -2.87%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.06%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 08:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 08:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.59%E -3.19%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 08:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-15 08:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-15 08:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-14 22:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.13%E -3.52%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 08:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 08:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 14:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.67%E -3.85%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-14 22:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.75%E -4.53%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-14 14:08 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.75%E -4.53%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-15 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.60%E -2.73%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 08:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.90%E -3.95%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-15 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.37%EV -10.44%E -6.29%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.63%EV -12.51%E -6.58%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-15 08:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.