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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Saitama Seibu Lions

开赛时间： 2026-05-17 04:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)

预测 61.58%1.62公平赔率
EV -2.09%
优势 -1.32%
Kelly -3.55%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.59

博彩公司预测分布
59.13%61.39%61.56%62.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.461.541.551.5968.49%64.87%64.52%62.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)

预测 38.42%2.60公平赔率
EV -2.02%
优势 -0.792%
Kelly -1.30%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.55

博彩公司预测分布
37.03%38.61%38.44%40.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.422.452.5544.44%41.33%40.82%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)：61.58%；Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)：38.42%。 对于“Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.60。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.55，期望值为-2.02%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.09%E -1.32%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -11.63%E -5.05%K -8.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:28
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.71%E -1.71%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.17%E -1.26%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 03:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -2.71%E -1.71%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -3.17%E -1.26%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-17 03:45
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -3.33%E -2.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -4.32%E -1.74%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 03:35
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.33%E -2.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 01:40
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.33%E -2.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -7.01%E -2.90%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 03:50
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.33%E -2.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -11.63%E -5.05%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 03:45
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.02%E -0.792%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 03:50
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.02%E -0.792%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 03:40
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.71%E -1.90%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 03:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -11.63%E -5.05%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 03:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -11.63%E -5.05%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 03:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -11.63%E -5.05%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 03:45
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -11.63%E -5.05%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 03:45
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -11.63%E -5.05%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 03:45
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -3.94%E -2.53%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -11.63%E -5.05%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 03:50
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.56%E -2.94%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 03:55
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.56%E -2.94%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 03:55
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.17%E -3.36%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 03:45
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.17%E -1.26%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 03:40
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 03:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.48%E -2.23%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 03:44
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.86%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 03:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.86%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 03:40
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.86%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 03:40
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 03:40
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.55%E -3.59%K -6.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 03:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.55%E -3.59%K -6.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 03:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.79%E -3.78%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.55%E -3.59%K -6.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 03:30
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.02%E -4.65%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.86%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 03:40
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.64%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 03:40
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.64%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 03:44
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.64%E -5.09%K -15.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 03:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.48%E -6.45%K -20.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 03:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.65%EV -10.10%E -6.92%K -21.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -13.55%E -6.02%K -10.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-17 03:40
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。