默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Saitama Seibu Lions

开赛时间： 2026-08-12 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

66%

34%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)

预测 65.67%1.52公平赔率

EV -2.16%

优势 -1.45%

Kelly -4.40%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.49

博彩公司预测分布

63.29%65.54%65.62%67.54%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.371.441.441.4972.99%69.39%69.44%67.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)

预测 34.33%2.91公平赔率

EV -1.81%

优势 -0.632%

Kelly -0.972%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.86

博彩公司预测分布

32.46%34.46%34.38%36.71%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.502.712.732.8640.00%36.91%36.63%34.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)：65.67%；Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)：34.33%。对于“Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.91。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.86，期望值为-1.81%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
1xBet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.69%EV -2.16%E -1.45%K -4.40%G +0.000%	2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -6.27%E -2.30%K -3.63%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-12 08:24
Pinnacle🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%	2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -3.18%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-12 08:45
NordicBet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.30%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-12 04:25
Betsson🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.30%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-12 04:25
BetUS🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.30%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-12 08:25
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.38%G +0.000%	2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -3.52%E -1.25%K -1.95%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-08-12 08:15
LowVig.ag🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.38%G +0.000%	2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -3.52%E -1.25%K -1.95%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-08-12 08:14
BetRivers🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.38%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -9.70%E -3.69%K -5.95%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-12 08:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.38%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -9.70%E -3.69%K -5.95%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-12 08:35
PMU (FR)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.38%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -9.70%E -3.69%K -5.95%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-12 08:35
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.38%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -9.70%E -3.69%K -5.95%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-12 08:35
Unibet🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.38%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -9.70%E -3.69%K -5.95%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-12 08:35
Bally Bet🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.38%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -9.70%E -3.69%K -5.95%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-12 08:35
DraftKings🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.78%E -3.30%K -10.63%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-12 08:10
BetMGM🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.78%E -3.30%K -10.63%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-12 05:21
Fanatics🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -4.78%E -3.30%K -10.63%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -14.17%E -5.67%K -9.45%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-08-12 08:55
Coolbet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.36%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.87%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-12 02:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.36%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.30%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-12 08:14
Bovada🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.36%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.30%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-12 08:22
Coral🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.36%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.05%E -3.84%K -6.20%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-12 05:24
FanDuel🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -6.10%E -4.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%	2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -1.81%E -0.632%K -0.972%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-12 08:14
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -6.10%E -4.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%	2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -4.90%E -1.77%K -2.77%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-12 08:20
Betway🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.10%E -4.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-12 08:14
theScore Bet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.10%E -4.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.30%E -2.70%K -4.29%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-12 04:44
ReBet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.75%E -4.76%K -16.08%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-12 08:15
Caesars🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.75%E -4.76%K -16.08%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-08-11 12:50
888sport🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-12 02:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-12 02:59
888sport (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-12 02:59
BoyleSports🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.07%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.58%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-12 04:44
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -9.38%E -6.80%K -24.68%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -10.73%E -4.13%K -6.71%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-08-12 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -10.04%E -7.33%K -27.12%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -2.15%E -0.755%K -1.16%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-12 06:19
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 64.60%EV -10.04%E -7.33%K -27.12%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 35.40%EV -14.17%E -5.67%K -9.45%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-08-12 08:34

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。