Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Saitama Seibu Lions

2026-07-11 05:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

57%

43%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prediction 57.01%1.75fair odd

EV -3.09%

Edge -1.82%

Kelly -4.41%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

55.87%56.99%57.03%57.89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.591.651.661.7063%61%60%59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)

Prediction 42.99%2.33fair odd

EV -1.98%

Edge -0.868%

Kelly -1.55%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.11%43.01%42.97%44.13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.052.192.202.2849%46%45%44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
1xBet	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.09%E -1.82%K -4.41%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.13%E -1.85%K -3.36%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-07-10 17:55
Pinnacle	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -3.66%E -2.16%K -5.30%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -2.41%E -1.06%K -1.90%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-07-10 17:49
Fanatics	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.66%E -2.16%K -5.30%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-07-10 13:50
BetOnline.ag	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.66%E -2.16%K -5.30%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-07-10 14:34
LowVig.ag	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.66%E -2.16%K -5.30%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.27%E -1.45%K -2.61%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-07-10 14:34
BetUS	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -3.66%E -2.16%K -5.30%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -8.00%E -3.74%K -7.02%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-10 17:50
NordicBet	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-10 14:25
Betsson	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.23%E -2.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-10 14:25
FanDuel	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000%	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.56%E -2.05%K -3.74%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-10 13:49
Caesars	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-10 13:53
DraftKings	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-10 14:54
theScore Bet	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-10 13:50
Hard Rock Bet	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.80%E -2.87%K -7.16%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-10 13:59
William Hill	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.37%E -3.23%K -8.13%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -1.98%E -0.868%K -1.55%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-10 14:24
Coolbet	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.37%E -3.23%K -8.13%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.13%E -1.85%K -3.36%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-10 15:45
MyBookie.ag	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.37%E -3.23%K -8.13%G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.85%E -2.67%K -4.91%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-10 13:48
Bovada	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.13%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-10 16:07
Fliff	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.94%E -3.60%K -9.13%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-10 17:54
BoyleSports	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.33%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-10 13:49
Betway	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.33%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-10 14:04
Tipico (DE)	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.65%E -4.72%K -12.33%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.57%E -3.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-10 19:05
888sport	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.22%E -5.10%K -13.47%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-10 13:54
888sport (SE)	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.22%E -5.10%K -13.47%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-10 13:54
Mr Green (SE)	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.22%E -5.10%K -13.47%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-10 13:55
ReBet	1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.22%E -5.10%K -13.47%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.72%E -4.63%K -8.83%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-07-10 17:05
Betclic (FR)	1.61I 62.11%NM 56.49%EV -8.22%E -5.10%K -13.47%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 43.51%EV -10.15%E -4.86%K -9.31%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-07-10 13:48
Everygame	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.79%E -5.49%K -14.64%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.42%E -2.46%K -4.51%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-07-10 17:04
Unibet (FR)	1.59I 62.89%NM 56.32%EV -9.36%E -5.88%K -15.86%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -11.87%E -5.79%K -11.30%G +0.000%	11.7%	2026-07-10 17:04

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.