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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Orix Buffaloes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)
Prediction 63.85%1.57fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -5.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.16%63.88%63.83%66.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.481.5271.43%68.13%67.57%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Orix Buffaloes (Visit)
Prediction 36.15%2.77fair odd
EV +1.21%
Edge +0.432%
Kelly +0.672%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.65%36.12%36.17%37.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.632.622.8043.48%38.06%38.17%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 63.85%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 36.15%. For Orix Buffaloes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.33%E -6.57%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +1.21%E +0.432%K +0.672%G +0.008% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 01:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.33%E -6.57%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +1.21%E +0.432%K +0.672%G +0.008% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 01:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.33%E -6.57%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +1.21%E +0.432%K +0.672%G +0.008% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 01:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.33%E -6.57%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +1.21%E +0.432%K +0.672%G +0.008% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 01:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.33%E -6.57%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +1.21%E +0.432%K +0.672%G +0.008% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 01:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -9.33%E -6.57%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV +1.21%E +0.432%K +0.672%G +0.008% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 01:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.58%E -2.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.41%E -0.891%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-20 04:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.58%E -2.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.41%E -0.891%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-20 04:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.50%E -3.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.41%E -0.891%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-20 04:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -6.13%E -4.17%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -2.41%E -0.891%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 04:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -2.94%E -1.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -3.13%E -1.17%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-20 04:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.58%E -2.37%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.85%E -1.45%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-20 04:48 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.21%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-20 03:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.41%E -5.11%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.21%E -1.59%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 19:03 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV -2.94%E -1.94%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV -4.57%E -1.73%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-20 04:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.86%E -3.26%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -4.57%E -1.73%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 04:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.05%E -5.59%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.30%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 03:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.05%E -5.59%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.30%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 03:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.05%E -5.59%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.30%E -2.02%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 03:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.02%E -2.32%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 04:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.02%E -2.32%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 04:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.02%E -2.32%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 04:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.50%E -3.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.02%E -2.32%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 04:42 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.39%EV -4.86%E -3.26%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.61%EV -6.74%E -2.61%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 04:13 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.22%E -2.81%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.83%E -3.07%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 04:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.50%E -3.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.83%E -3.07%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 04:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.50%E -3.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.83%E -3.07%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 04:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.41%E -5.11%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.83%E -3.07%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-20 04:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.50%E -3.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.63%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 04:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.50%E -3.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.63%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 04:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.50%E -3.71%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.63%E -3.85%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 04:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.33%EV -9.33%E -6.57%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.67%EV -15.06%E -6.41%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-20 04:32 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.16%EV -10.60%E -7.57%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%EV -16.86%E -7.33%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-20 04:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.