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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Orix Buffaloes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)
Prediction 60.15%1.66fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -3.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.89%59.98%60.30%61.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.581.581.6365.79%63.41%63.29%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Orix Buffaloes (Visit)
Prediction 39.85%2.51fair odd
EV -0.364%
Edge -0.146%
Kelly -0.243%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.73%40.02%39.70%42.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.342.352.5045.45%42.70%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 60.15%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 39.85%. For Orix Buffaloes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -0.364%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -1.96%E -1.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -6.74%E -2.88%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 19:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.56%E -1.58%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 03:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.56%E -1.58%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 03:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.56%E -1.58%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 21:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.17%E -1.97%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 17:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.17%E -1.97%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.17%E -1.97%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -3.17%E -1.97%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%EV -3.77%E -2.35%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%EV -2.76%E -1.13%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-05 03:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.77%E -2.35%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.34%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 03:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.77%E -2.35%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.32%E -5.60%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 21:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.37%E -2.75%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.36%E -0.962%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-05 03:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.37%E -2.75%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.33%E -3.62%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -4.97%E -3.15%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -0.364%E -0.146%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-05 03:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.97%E -3.15%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -3.95%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 03:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.97%E -3.15%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 03:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.97%E -3.15%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 03:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.36%E -0.962%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 03:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.55%E -1.47%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 03:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 16:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 16:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.57%E -3.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 03:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.34%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 03:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.34%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 03:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.17%E -3.96%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.33%E -3.62%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 03:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.77%E -4.37%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.34%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 03:28 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.38%E -4.79%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.35%E -1.81%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 03:18 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.98%E -5.21%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.15%E -2.16%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 03:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.98%E -5.21%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.34%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 03:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.98%E -5.21%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.34%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 03:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.58%E -5.64%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.34%E -2.70%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 03:23 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -8.58%E -5.64%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.33%E -4.59%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 03:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.