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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Orix Buffaloes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)
Prediction 65.57%1.53fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -3.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.70%65.22%65.80%66.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.441.441.5074.07%69.43%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Orix Buffaloes (Visit)
Prediction 34.43%2.90fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -0.655%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.41%34.78%34.20%38.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.702.702.8541.67%37.10%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 65.57%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 34.43%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.50, with an expected value of -1.65%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -1.65%E -1.10%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -7.38%E -2.74%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-21 04:13 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -1.65%E -1.10%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -13.92%E -5.57%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-21 00:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -2.31%E -1.55%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -17.36%E -7.23%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-21 04:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.96%E -2.00%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.03%E -2.60%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-21 03:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.96%E -2.00%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.03%E -2.60%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-21 03:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -2.96%E -2.00%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -15.64%E -6.38%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-21 00:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.62%E -2.46%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.55%E -0.903%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-21 04:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.62%E -2.46%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.55%E -0.903%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-21 04:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.62%E -2.46%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.55%E -0.903%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-21 04:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -3.62%E -2.46%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -6.34%E -2.33%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-21 04:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.93%E -3.40%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.03%E -2.60%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-21 04:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.93%E -3.40%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.75%E -3.30%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-21 04:18 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.58%E -3.88%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.59%E -1.28%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-21 04:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.58%E -3.88%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.03%E -2.60%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-21 03:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.58%E -3.88%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.03%E -2.60%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-21 04:12 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.58%E -3.88%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.03%E -2.60%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-21 04:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.58%E -3.88%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.03%E -2.60%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-21 04:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.58%E -3.88%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.03%E -2.60%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-21 04:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.58%E -3.88%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.03%E -2.60%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-21 04:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.58%E -3.88%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.03%E -2.60%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-21 04:43 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.24%E -4.36%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.87%E -0.655%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-21 04:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -6.24%E -4.36%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.21%E -0.778%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-21 03:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.24%E -4.36%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.31%E -1.93%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-21 03:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.24%E -4.36%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.31%E -1.93%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-21 04:28 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.24%E -4.36%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.03%E -2.60%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-21 04:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.24%E -4.36%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.03%E -2.60%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-21 03:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.31%E -1.93%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-21 04:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.31%E -1.93%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-21 04:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.31%E -1.93%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-21 04:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.31%E -1.93%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-21 03:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.21%E -5.86%K -20.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.03%E -2.60%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-21 03:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.60%EV -10.17%E -7.43%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.40%EV -13.92%E -5.57%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-21 04:33 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.47%EV -11.48%E -8.51%K -32.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.53%EV -15.64%E -6.38%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-21 04:48 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.