The School of Odds
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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Orix Buffaloes

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prediction 63.07%1.59fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.73%63.05%62.81%64.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.501.5669.44%66.68%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Orix Buffaloes (Visit)

Prediction 36.93%2.71fair odd
EV +0.449%
Edge +0.165%
Kelly +0.261%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.70%36.95%37.19%38.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.552.542.7240.82%39.19%39.37%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 63.07%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 36.93%. For Orix Buffaloes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.72, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.449%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV +0.449%E +0.165%K +0.261%G +0.001%3.0%2026-04-04 04:45
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -1.03%E -0.384%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 04:54
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.39%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.14%E -0.806%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 04:25
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.76%E -3.15%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -2.51%E -0.949%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 04:40
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -6.03%E -4.04%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -2.51%E -0.949%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 04:25
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -4.13%E -2.72%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -2.87%E -1.09%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 04:30
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.39%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.98%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 04:25
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.66%E -4.50%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.98%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 04:54
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.66%E -4.50%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.98%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 04:34
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.50%E -2.29%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.72%E -1.83%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 04:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.61%E -1.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 03:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.61%E -1.03%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 03:45
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.66%E -4.50%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 04:24
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.55%E -5.90%K -19.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 04:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.55%E -5.90%K -19.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.83%E -2.29%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 04:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -6.66%E -4.50%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -6.20%E -2.44%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 04:44
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.50%E -2.29%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -6.94%E -2.75%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 04:39
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.24%E -1.45%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 04:35
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.24%E -1.45%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 04:34
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.39%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 04:39
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.39%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.39%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 04:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.39%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 04:40
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.39%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 01:24
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.39%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 01:25
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.39%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 01:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.39%E -3.60%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 01:24
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.66%E -4.50%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 04:24
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.66%E -4.50%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 04:24
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.18%E -6.37%K -20.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.68%E -3.07%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 04:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -8.55%E -5.90%K -19.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -9.52%E -3.89%K -6.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 04:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.