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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Orix Buffaloes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)
Prediction 62.85%1.59fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -5.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.07%62.85%62.81%64.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.501.501.5469.93%66.77%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Orix Buffaloes (Visit)
Prediction 37.15%2.69fair odd
EV -0.066%
Edge -0.025%
Kelly -0.039%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.95%37.15%37.19%38.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.322.532.502.6943.10%39.53%40.00%37.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 62.85%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 37.15%. For Orix Buffaloes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.692. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.690, with an expected value of -0.066%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.21%E -2.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-01 08:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.21%E -2.09%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -3.04%E -1.16%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.84%E -2.51%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.41%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-01 07:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.84%E -2.51%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.15%E -1.61%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 05:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.84%E -2.51%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -4.15%E -1.61%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.84%E -2.51%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.84%E -4.52%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 03:18 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -4.47%E -2.94%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -2.30%E -0.873%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.05%EV -5.10%E -3.38%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95%EV -0.066%E -0.025%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-01 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.10%E -3.38%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.41%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.41%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.41%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.64%E -2.22%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 07:48 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 05:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 05:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 07:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 05:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 05:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 08:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 08:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 08:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 08:08 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 08:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 08:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.73%E -3.82%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-01 00:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -6.35%E -4.26%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -1.92%E -0.729%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.35%E -4.26%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.27%E -2.07%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.35%E -4.26%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 08:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.98%E -4.72%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.27%E -2.07%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 08:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.98%E -4.72%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 04:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.98%E -4.72%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.12%E -2.85%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 05:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -6.98%E -4.72%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -8.98%E -3.67%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-01 00:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -8.24%E -5.64%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.84%E -4.52%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-01 08:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.87%E -6.12%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.27%E -2.07%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-01 05:08 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.87%E -6.12%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.27%E -2.07%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-01 05:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.87%EV -10.12%E -7.08%K -23.55%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.13%EV -13.81%E -5.95%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-01 08:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.