默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

开赛时间： 2026-07-14 04:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

54%

46%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)

预测 54.05%1.85公平赔率

EV -1.63%

优势 -0.893%

Kelly -1.98%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.82

博彩公司预测分布

52.70%54.09%53.93%55.99%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.641.741.741.8260.98%57.49%57.47%54.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)

预测 45.95%2.18公平赔率

EV -1.21%

优势 -0.563%

Kelly -1.05%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.15

博彩公司预测分布

44.01%45.91%46.07%47.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.922.042.042.1552.08%48.91%49.02%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (主队)：54.05%；Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)：45.95%。对于“Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.18。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.15，期望值为-1.21%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 53.45%EV -1.63%E -0.893%K -1.98%G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55%EV -3.97%E -1.90%K -3.64%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-07-14 03:50
LowVig.ag🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -2.17%E -1.20%K -2.67%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -6.27%E -3.07%K -6.02%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-14 03:55
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -2.17%E -1.20%K -2.67%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -6.27%E -3.07%K -6.02%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-14 03:55
1xBet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -2.71%E -1.50%K -3.38%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -4.43%E -2.13%K -4.10%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-07-14 03:15
BetRivers🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.87%E -2.77%K -6.41%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.27%E -3.07%K -6.02%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-14 03:49
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.87%E -2.77%K -6.41%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.27%E -3.07%K -6.02%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-14 03:49
PMU (FR)🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.87%E -2.77%K -6.41%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.27%E -3.07%K -6.02%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-14 03:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.87%E -2.77%K -6.41%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.27%E -3.07%K -6.02%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-14 03:49
Unibet🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.87%E -2.77%K -6.41%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.27%E -3.07%K -6.02%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-14 03:50
Bally Bet🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.87%E -2.77%K -6.41%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.27%E -3.07%K -6.02%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-14 03:50
William Hill🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.41%E -3.09%K -7.21%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.59%E -1.22%K -2.31%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-14 01:44
FanDuel🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.41%E -3.09%K -7.21%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.51%E -1.67%K -3.19%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-14 02:20
Betsson🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.41%E -3.09%K -7.21%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.51%E -1.67%K -3.19%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-14 02:20
NordicBet🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.41%E -3.09%K -7.21%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.51%E -1.67%K -3.19%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-14 02:20
BetUS🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%EV -5.41%E -3.09%K -7.21%G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%EV -6.73%E -3.31%K -6.53%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-14 03:55
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.41%E -3.09%K -7.21%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.40%E -5.33%K -10.95%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-07-14 01:10
DraftKings🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.95%E -3.42%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.51%E -1.67%K -3.19%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-14 03:55
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -5.95%E -3.42%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.35%E -2.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-14 02:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.95%E -3.42%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-14 02:19
ReBet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.95%E -3.42%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-14 03:55
theScore Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.95%E -3.42%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-14 01:10
BoyleSports🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.49%E -3.75%K -8.89%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-14 02:19
888sport🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.49%E -3.75%K -8.89%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.10%E -4.05%K -8.10%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-14 03:55
888sport (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.49%E -3.75%K -8.89%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.10%E -4.05%K -8.10%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-14 03:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.49%E -3.75%K -8.89%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.10%E -4.05%K -8.10%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-14 03:55
BetMGM🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.57%E -4.43%K -10.66%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.51%E -1.67%K -3.19%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-13 23:49
Betway🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.57%E -4.43%K -10.66%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.10%E -4.05%K -8.10%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-07-14 02:19
Fanatics🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.57%E -4.43%K -10.66%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.10%E -4.05%K -8.10%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-07-14 03:55
Coral🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.11%E -4.77%K -11.59%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.81%E -2.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-13 23:50
Everygame🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.11%E -4.77%K -11.59%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.10%E -4.05%K -8.10%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-07-14 01:14
Caesars🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.65%E -5.12%K -12.54%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.21%E -0.563%K -1.05%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-13 13:40
Bovada🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.65%E -5.12%K -12.54%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -3.51%E -1.67%K -3.19%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-14 03:54
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 53.87%EV -9.73%E -5.83%K -14.53%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.13%EV -10.40%E -5.33%K -10.95%G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-07-14 03:55
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 53.93%EV -11.36%E -6.92%K -17.74%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 46.07%EV -11.78%E -6.14%K -12.80%G +0.000%	13.1%	2026-07-14 03:35

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。