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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)
Prediction 58.67%1.70fair odd
EV +2.68%
Edge +1.53%
Kelly +3.57%
Growth +0.096%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.83%58.47%58.79%59.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.611.611.7565.36%62.12%62.11%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)
Prediction 41.33%2.42fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.867%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.05%41.53%41.21%46.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.272.252.3749.02%44.08%44.44%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 58.67%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 41.33%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.70. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.68%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV +2.68%E +1.53%K +3.57%G +0.096% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -11.56%E -5.40%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-16 03:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV +2.68%E +1.53%K +3.57%G +0.096% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -11.56%E -5.40%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-16 03:50 |
| BetUS | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV +2.68%E +1.53%K +3.57%G +0.096% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -15.69%E -7.69%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-16 03:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.02%E -1.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -4.12%E -1.78%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-16 03:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.19%E -1.93%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.88%E -1.23%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-16 03:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.19%E -1.93%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-16 03:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.25%EV -4.36%E -2.68%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -2.06%E -0.867%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-16 02:45 |
| William Hill | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.36%E -2.68%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.29%E -1.41%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-15 14:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.95%E -3.06%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-15 13:19 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.95%E -3.06%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-15 13:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.95%E -3.06%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-16 02:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.54%E -3.44%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -3.29%E -1.41%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-16 03:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.54%E -3.44%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.71%E -1.59%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-16 03:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.54%E -3.44%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-15 22:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.54%E -3.44%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.77%E -2.53%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-16 03:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.54%E -3.44%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-16 03:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.54%E -3.44%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-16 03:00 |
| ReBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.54%E -3.44%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-16 03:05 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.54%E -3.44%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-16 03:19 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.12%E -3.83%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-16 03:40 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.71%E -4.22%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-15 13:24 |
| Unibet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.30%E -4.62%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -2.88%E -1.23%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-16 03:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.88%E -1.23%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-16 03:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.88%E -1.23%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-16 03:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.88%E -1.23%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-16 03:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.88%E -1.23%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-16 03:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.88%E -1.23%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-16 03:45 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-15 13:14 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-15 13:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-16 03:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-15 13:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-15 13:24 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.88%E -5.02%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-15 22:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -9.06%E -5.84%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -11.15%E -5.18%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-16 03:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.85%EV -10.23%E -6.69%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.15%EV -13.21%E -6.29%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-16 03:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.