The School of Odds

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

2026-07-16 04:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prediction 59.19%1.69fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -4.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.27%59.20%59.23%59.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.541.591.591.6465%63%63%61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 40.81%2.45fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.860%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.05%40.80%40.77%41.73%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.152.302.302.4047%43%43%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -2.92%E -1.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -4.10%E -1.75%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-15 19:29
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 59.45%EV -3.51%E -2.16%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.55%EV -2.47%E -1.03%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-15 15:45
William Hill1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.51%E -2.16%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.51%E -1.93%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-15 14:14
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.11%E -2.53%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.06%E -0.860%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-15 13:24
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.11%E -2.53%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.06%E -0.860%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-15 13:49
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.11%E -2.53%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.06%E -0.860%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-15 13:49
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.11%E -2.53%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.15%E -2.67%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-15 13:19
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.11%E -2.53%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.15%E -2.67%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-15 13:24
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.11%E -2.53%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.15%E -2.67%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-15 17:39
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.70%E -2.92%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.10%E -1.75%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-15 14:54
FanDuel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.70%E -1.57%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-15 13:19
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.10%E -1.75%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-15 13:24
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.29%E -3.31%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.15%E -2.67%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-15 13:28
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.88%E -3.70%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.15%E -2.67%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-15 13:20
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.88%E -3.70%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.15%E -2.67%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-15 13:24
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.88%E -3.70%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.15%E -2.67%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-15 15:40
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.10%E -1.75%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-15 18:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.10%E -1.75%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-15 19:30
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.15%E -2.67%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-15 13:19
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-15 13:14
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-15 13:20
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-15 13:24
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-15 14:24
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-15 13:24
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.19%E -3.64%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-15 13:24
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.66%E -4.91%K -13.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-15 16:04
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.25%E -5.32%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.15%E -2.67%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-15 17:45
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.25%E -5.32%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.23%E -4.65%K -8.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-15 13:23
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -8.84%E -5.74%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -12.27%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-15 16:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.