The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-09-01 09:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prediction 35.89%2.79fair odd
EV +1.56%
Edge +0.552%
Kelly +0.853%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 2.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.19%36.03%35.66%38.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.392.622.652.8341.84%38.19%37.74%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 64.11%1.56fair odd
EV -3.83%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -7.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.70%63.97%64.34%65.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.471.5071.43%68.04%68.03%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 35.89%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 64.11%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.56%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV +1.56%E +0.552%K +0.853%G +0.013%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -5.75%E -3.91%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-01 08:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.66%EV +0.126%E +0.045%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.34%EV -5.11%E -3.46%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-01 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.66%EV +0.126%E +0.045%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.34%EV -5.11%E -3.46%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-01 08:55
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.31%E -0.476%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.75%E -3.91%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-01 08:45
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -1.31%E -0.476%K -0.748%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -8.32%E -5.82%K -19.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 08:24
FanDuel🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -2.39%E -0.877%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.75%E -3.91%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 08:40
BetUS🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -2.75%E -1.01%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.75%E -3.91%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 08:25
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.10%E -1.15%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.11%E -3.46%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 08:50
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -3.10%E -1.15%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.11%E -3.46%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 08:45
1xBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.80%EV -3.46%E -1.29%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.20%EV -3.83%E -2.55%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.90%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.75%E -3.91%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 08:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.90%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.75%E -3.91%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 08:35
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.90%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.75%E -3.91%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 08:35
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.90%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.75%E -3.91%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 08:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.90%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.75%E -3.91%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 08:35
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.90%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.75%E -3.91%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 08:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.90%E -1.85%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.96%E -6.31%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-01 08:45
MyBookie.ag🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -5.62%E -2.14%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.75%E -3.91%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 08:49
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.83%E -2.55%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 08:25
ReBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.75%E -3.91%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 08:40
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.75%E -3.91%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 08:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.04%E -4.85%K -15.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 08:40
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.68%E -5.33%K -17.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 08:40
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.69%E -2.57%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.68%E -5.33%K -17.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 08:40
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.83%E -2.55%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 12:10
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.83%E -2.55%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 12:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.83%E -2.55%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.83%E -2.55%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 12:09
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.28%E -4.11%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.83%E -2.55%K -7.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 20:09
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -12.08%E -4.93%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -5.11%E -3.46%K -10.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-31 20:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -12.08%E -4.93%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.31%EV -8.96%E -6.31%K -21.33%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 08:50
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -13.87%E -5.78%K -9.91%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -4.47%E -3.00%K -9.13%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 36.94%EV -14.23%E -5.95%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.06%EV -10.24%E -7.32%K -25.61%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-01 08:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.