The School of Odds
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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks

Kickoff: 2026-08-20 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prediction 46.80%2.14fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.819%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%46.68%46.84%49.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.012.002.1053.19%49.82%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit)

Prediction 53.20%1.88fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.854%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.53%53.32%53.16%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.771.771.8559.88%56.58%56.34%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 46.80%; Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit): 53.20%. For Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.85, with an expected value of -1.58%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.72%E -0.819%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.84%E -3.30%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 04:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.72%E -0.819%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.84%E -3.30%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 04:44
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -1.72%E -0.819%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -10.09%E -5.97%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-20 04:43
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -1.58%E -0.854%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-20 04:50
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-20 04:19
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -4.06%E -1.98%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -11.16%E -6.68%K -16.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-20 04:45
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.53%E -2.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.30%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 04:50
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.55%EV -5.00%E -2.46%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.45%EV -2.11%E -1.15%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-20 04:53
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.30%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 04:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.30%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 04:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.30%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 04:39
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.30%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 04:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.30%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 04:39
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.46%E -2.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.30%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 04:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -5.93%E -2.95%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.30%E -2.98%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 04:54
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.18%E -1.74%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-20 04:45
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.18%E -1.74%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-20 04:44
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-20 04:44
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.84%E -3.30%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-20 04:49
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.84%E -3.30%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-20 04:39
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.84%E -3.30%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 13:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.84%E -3.30%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-20 04:49
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.96%E -4.60%K -10.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-20 04:19
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.96%E -4.60%K -10.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.96%E -4.60%K -10.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.96%E -4.60%K -10.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.40%E -3.20%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.50%E -4.94%K -11.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-20 04:50
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.74%E -4.48%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.24%E -2.36%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-20 04:53
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.74%E -4.48%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.43%E -4.27%K -10.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-20 04:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -10.61%E -5.56%K -11.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.91%EV -9.56%E -5.62%K -13.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-20 04:49
BetUS🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -11.55%E -6.11%K -12.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -1.58%E -0.854%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 04:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.19%EV -12.02%E -6.39%K -13.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.81%EV -10.62%E -6.32%K -15.62%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-20 04:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.