Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Chunichi Dragons

Kickoff: 2026-06-14 04:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prediction 63.23%1.58fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.870%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.10%63.14%63.11%64.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.491.501.5670.92%66.90%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chunichi Dragons (Visit)

Prediction 36.77%2.72fair odd
EV +0.009%
Edge +0.003%
Kelly +0.005%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.08%36.86%36.89%39.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.552.552.7242.55%39.20%39.22%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 63.23%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 36.77%. For Chunichi Dragons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.7198. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.7200, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.009%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -7.05%E -4.80%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV +0.009%E +0.003%K +0.005%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-14 03:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.52%E -2.99%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -0.727%E -0.269%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-14 03:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.52%E -2.99%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -0.727%E -0.269%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-14 03:50
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -3.89%E -2.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -1.83%E -0.685%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-14 03:50
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.15%E -3.43%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.57%E -0.968%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-14 03:50
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.15%E -3.43%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.57%E -0.968%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-14 03:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -7.05%E -4.80%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -3.30%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-14 03:40
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -3.89%E -2.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -4.04%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 03:50
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.25%E -2.13%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.40%E -1.69%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-14 03:50
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.89%E -2.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.40%E -1.69%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 03:50
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.15%E -3.43%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.40%E -1.69%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 03:40
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.05%E -4.80%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.40%E -1.69%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-14 03:40
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.95%E -6.21%K -20.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.40%E -1.69%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-14 03:40
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -3.25%E -2.13%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -5.14%E -1.99%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 17:10
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.89%E -2.56%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.24%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 03:40
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.78%E -3.88%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.24%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 03:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.42%E -4.34%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.24%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-14 03:49
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -7.05%E -4.80%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.24%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 03:50
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.31%E -5.73%K -18.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.24%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-14 03:29
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.13%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 20:50
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.15%E -3.43%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-14 03:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.15%E -3.43%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-14 03:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.15%E -3.43%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-14 03:40
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.15%E -3.43%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 21:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.15%E -3.43%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 21:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.15%E -3.43%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.15%E -3.43%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 21:10
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.15%E -3.43%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 21:10
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.15%E -3.43%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 21:10
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.42%E -4.34%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.08%E -3.23%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-14 03:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -8.95%E -6.21%K -20.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -9.92%E -4.05%K -6.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-14 03:49
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.15%E -3.43%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.76%E -4.90%K -8.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-13 20:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.70%EV -10.84%E -7.69%K -26.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.30%EV -12.86%E -5.43%K -9.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-14 03:49
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -1.36%E -0.870%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -13.60%E -5.79%K -10.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 14:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.