Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Chunichi Dragons

Kickoff: 2026-06-12 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prediction 62.49%1.60fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -4.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.10%62.45%62.50%64.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.511.501.5669.93%66.25%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chunichi Dragons (Visit)

Prediction 37.51%2.67fair odd
EV +2.78%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.60%
Growth +0.045%

assuming max odds 2.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.37%37.55%37.50%39.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.522.502.7442.92%39.75%40.00%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 62.49%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 37.51%. For Chunichi Dragons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.78%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV +2.78%E +1.02%K +1.60%G +0.045%3.2%2026-06-12 08:50
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -0.218%E -0.082%K -0.131%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 08:50
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.593%E -0.224%K -0.360%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 08:50
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -9.39%E -6.48%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -0.593%E -0.224%K -0.360%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-12 08:49
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -0.968%E -0.367%K -0.591%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 08:50
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -5.02%E -3.30%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -1.34%E -0.511%K -0.824%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-12 08:50
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -1.72%E -0.656%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-12 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.77%E -2.45%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.09%E -0.802%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-12 08:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -3.77%E -2.45%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.09%E -0.802%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-12 08:50
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.47%E -0.950%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-12 08:50
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.22%E -1.25%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 08:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.34%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 08:48
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -4.34%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-12 08:49
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -9.39%E -6.48%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -4.34%E -1.70%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 08:50
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.47%E -2.17%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 08:49
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-12 08:40
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-12 08:40
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-12 08:30
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-12 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-12 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-12 08:50
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-12 08:50
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-12 08:49
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.22%E -2.49%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-12 08:50
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.97%E -4.15%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-12 08:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.97%E -4.15%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-12 08:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.97%E -4.15%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-12 08:40
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.97%E -4.15%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-12 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.97%E -4.15%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-12 08:30
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.14%E -2.03%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.97%E -4.15%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-12 08:40
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.77%E -2.45%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -9.97%E -4.15%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-11 23:58
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -9.39%E -6.48%K -20.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.97%E -4.15%K -7.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-12 08:50
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.52%E -1.61%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -11.85%E -5.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-12 00:08
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.97%EV -10.64%E -7.44%K -24.75%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.03%EV -12.60%E -5.41%K -9.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-12 08:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.