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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Chiba Lotte Marines

Kickoff: 2026-08-01 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)

Prediction 66.42%1.51fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.53%66.46%66.27%68.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.411.401.4874.07%70.84%71.43%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)

Prediction 33.58%2.98fair odd
EV -0.951%
Edge -0.322%
Kelly -0.487%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.87%33.54%33.73%35.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.812.802.9539.22%35.55%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 66.42%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 33.58%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.98. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -0.951%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -5.99%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 04:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -5.99%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 04:24
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -3.69%E -2.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -3.64%E -1.27%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-01 04:54
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%EV -3.69%E -2.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.04%EV -5.65%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 04:49
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.69%E -2.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.99%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 04:34
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.69%E -2.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.99%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 04:29
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.69%E -2.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -9.34%E -3.46%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 23:34
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.99%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 04:34
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.35%E -3.02%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.03%E -4.59%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 23:34
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.01%E -3.51%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.63%E -0.907%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 01:24
William Hill🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.01%E -3.51%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.63%E -0.907%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 15:05
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.01%E -3.51%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.67%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 04:54
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.68%E -4.00%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.67%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 14:54
FanDuel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -6.34%E -4.50%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -1.29%E -0.438%K -0.663%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 01:20
Coolbet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -6.34%E -4.50%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -1.62%E -0.554%K -0.840%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 00:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.75%EV -6.34%E -4.50%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.25%EV -4.98%E -1.76%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 01:30
ReBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.34%E -4.50%K -15.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.99%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 04:04
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.01%E -5.00%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.99%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 17:30
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.01%E -5.00%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.99%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 04:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.01%E -5.00%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.99%E -2.14%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 17:34
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.01%E -5.00%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.67%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 17:35
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.01%E -5.00%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.67%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 17:30
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.01%E -5.00%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.67%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.01%E -5.00%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.67%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.01%E -5.00%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.67%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 14:55
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.01%E -5.00%K -17.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.67%E -2.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 21:28
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -0.951%E -0.322%K -0.487%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 04:49
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -0.951%E -0.322%K -0.487%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 04:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -0.951%E -0.322%K -0.487%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 04:49
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -0.951%E -0.322%K -0.487%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 04:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -0.951%E -0.322%K -0.487%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 04:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.33%E -6.04%K -21.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -0.951%E -0.322%K -0.487%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 04:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -9.00%E -6.57%K -24.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.31%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 01:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.92%EV -9.00%E -6.57%K -24.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.08%EV -11.02%E -4.16%K -6.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 04:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.38%EV -10.33%E -7.65%K -29.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.62%EV -14.38%E -5.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-01 04:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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