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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)
Prediction 66.17%1.51fair odd
EV +0.572%
Edge +0.376%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 1.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.73%66.17%65.95%68.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.421.411.5274.07%70.52%70.92%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 33.83%2.96fair odd
EV -0.190%
Edge -0.064%
Kelly -0.097%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.87%33.83%34.05%36.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.812.802.9538.46%35.65%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 66.17%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 33.83%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.51. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.572%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV +0.572%E +0.376%K +1.10%G +0.006% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -8.99%E -3.34%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-23 03:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.07%E -1.40%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -5.26%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-23 03:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.07%E -1.40%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -5.26%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-23 03:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.07%E -1.40%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.65%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-23 03:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.07%E -1.40%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -12.03%E -4.63%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-23 03:48 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.26%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-23 02:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.06%E -2.80%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.26%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-23 02:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -4.72%E -3.28%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -1.54%E -0.530%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-23 03:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.72%E -3.28%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-23 03:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.72%E -3.28%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -12.03%E -4.63%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-23 03:48 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.38%E -3.76%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.88%E -0.649%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-22 14:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.38%E -3.76%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.26%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-22 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.38%E -3.76%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-23 03:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.38%E -3.76%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.65%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-23 03:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.04%E -4.26%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.190%E -0.064%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-22 19:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.04%E -4.26%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-23 03:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.04%E -4.26%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-22 15:17 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -6.71%E -4.76%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -0.866%E -0.296%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-23 02:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -6.71%E -4.76%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -3.23%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-22 19:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.37%E -5.26%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.26%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-22 14:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.37%E -5.26%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.26%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-22 14:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.37%E -5.26%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.26%E -1.88%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-23 03:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.37%E -5.26%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-22 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.37%E -5.26%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-22 15:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.37%E -5.26%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-22 15:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.37%E -5.26%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-22 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.69%E -6.30%K -22.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -0.190%E -0.064%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.69%E -6.30%K -22.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -0.190%E -0.064%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.69%E -6.30%K -22.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -0.190%E -0.064%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.69%E -6.30%K -22.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -0.190%E -0.064%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-23 03:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.69%E -6.30%K -22.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -0.190%E -0.064%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -8.69%E -6.30%K -22.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -0.190%E -0.064%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-23 03:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -9.35%E -6.83%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-23 03:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.34%EV -9.35%E -6.83%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.66%EV -8.65%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-23 03:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.82%EV -10.68%E -7.91%K -30.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.18%EV -12.03%E -4.63%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-23 03:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.