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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)
Prediction 63.87%1.57fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -3.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.56%64.04%63.86%66.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.471.5471.43%67.94%68.03%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 36.13%2.77fair odd
EV +4.78%
Edge +1.65%
Kelly +2.52%
Growth +0.120%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.03%35.96%36.14%38.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.632.622.9040.82%37.98%38.17%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 63.87%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 36.13%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.78%.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -8.67%E -6.06%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +4.78%E +1.65%K +2.52%G +0.120% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 08:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.67%E -6.06%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +2.97%E +1.04%K +1.61%G +0.048% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 09:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.17%E +0.417%K +0.649%G +0.008% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 09:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.17%E +0.417%K +0.649%G +0.008% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 09:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.58%E -7.56%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.638%E -0.232%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-01 09:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.44%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.67%E -6.06%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -2.44%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.67%E -6.06%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -2.44%E -0.906%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.53%E -1.32%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 09:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-01 09:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-01 09:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.56%E -2.36%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.20%E -2.80%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.25%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 09:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.84%E -3.25%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -4.61%E -1.75%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 09:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -2.92%E -1.92%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -4.97%E -1.89%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 09:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.34%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-01 09:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.34%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-01 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.03%E -5.58%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.34%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-01 09:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.20%E -2.80%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 09:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-01 00:03 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-01 09:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-01 09:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -3.56%E -2.36%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -7.50%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 09:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -6.11%E -4.16%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -7.50%E -2.93%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 09:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 09:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-01 09:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-01 09:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.86%E -3.08%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-01 09:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -1.64%E -1.07%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -8.23%E -3.24%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 09:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.47%E -3.70%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-01 09:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.28%E -1.49%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -11.48%E -4.68%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 09:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.39%E -5.10%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.48%E -4.68%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-01 09:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.