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Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local)
Prediction 65.37%1.53fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -3.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.81%65.32%65.42%67.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.451.451.5073.53%69.13%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 34.63%2.89fair odd
EV -0.963%
Edge -0.337%
Kelly -0.518%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.46%34.68%34.58%37.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.702.8640.00%37.08%37.04%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Local): 65.37%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 34.63%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.86, with an expected value of -0.963%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.94%E -1.29%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.70%E -4.59%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 07:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.25%E -2.20%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.04%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-31 03:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.25%E -2.20%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.04%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-31 03:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -3.25%E -2.20%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV -4.08%E -1.47%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-31 07:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.25%E -2.20%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-30 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.25%E -2.20%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 08:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.25%E -2.20%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-31 08:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.25%E -2.20%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.97%E -3.83%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 14:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.25%E -2.20%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -13.43%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-31 02:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.90%E -2.66%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -6.16%E -2.27%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-31 08:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -3.90%E -2.66%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -8.93%E -3.39%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-31 08:37 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -3.90%E -2.66%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -8.93%E -3.39%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-31 08:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -3.90%E -2.66%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -8.93%E -3.39%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-31 08:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -3.90%E -2.66%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -8.93%E -3.39%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-31 08:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -3.90%E -2.66%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -8.93%E -3.39%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-31 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -3.90%E -2.66%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -8.93%E -3.39%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-31 08:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.21%E -3.59%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.04%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-31 08:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.21%E -3.59%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.73%E -1.34%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-31 05:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.31%E -0.459%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-31 08:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-31 08:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-31 02:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-31 02:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-31 02:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -0.963%E -0.337%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-31 08:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.11%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.89%EV -3.39%E -1.21%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 08:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.77%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-31 08:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.52%E -4.56%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 08:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.17%E -5.05%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.77%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-31 08:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.04%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-31 08:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.77%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-31 08:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.48%E -6.06%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.77%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-31 02:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -9.79%E -7.09%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -9.97%E -3.83%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-31 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -10.44%E -7.62%K -28.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -1.31%E -0.459%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-31 08:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.77%EV -11.09%E -8.16%K -30.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.23%EV -13.43%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-07-31 08:33 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
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