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Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Yomiuri Giants
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)
Prediction 46.90%2.13fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.09%46.95%46.94%48.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.992.002.0853.48%50.31%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yomiuri Giants (Visit)
Prediction 53.10%1.88fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.20%53.05%53.06%53.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.781.781.8459.52%56.25%56.18%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 46.90%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 53.10%. For Yomiuri Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.84, with an expected value of -2.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.46%E -1.18%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.46%E -1.18%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 08:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.92%E -1.41%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 08:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.39%E -1.65%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.88%E -2.15%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.86%E -1.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 07:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.33%E -2.12%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 07:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -5.74%E -2.85%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.48%E -3.08%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 08:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 08:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 08:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.01%E -3.39%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.01%E -3.39%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 14:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.01%E -3.39%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.01%E -3.39%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 15:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 07:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 04:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 04:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.13%E -4.70%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 04:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.66%E -5.04%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 06:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.21%E -3.10%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.19%E -5.38%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 08:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.55%EV -8.55%E -4.39%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.45%EV -2.29%E -1.24%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 08:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.55%E -4.39%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.41%E -2.45%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.55%E -4.39%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.07%E -4.04%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-03 22:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.55%E -4.39%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.60%E -4.37%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 18:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -9.02%E -4.65%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -9.02%E -4.65%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -9.02%E -4.65%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -9.02%E -4.65%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -9.02%E -4.65%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 08:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -9.96%E -5.19%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -2.82%E -1.54%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 07:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -10.43%E -5.46%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.76%EV -9.19%E -5.38%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 08:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.32%EV -12.30%E -6.58%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.68%EV -10.79%E -6.42%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 08:33 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.