Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Yomiuri Giants

Kickoff: 2026-06-23 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)

Prediction 50.08%2.00fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.680%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.43%50.19%50.00%51.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.871.871.9756.50%53.41%53.48%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yomiuri Giants (Visit)

Prediction 49.92%2.00fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.65%49.81%50.00%51.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.891.901.9556.50%53.01%52.63%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 50.08%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 49.92%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.97, with an expected value of -1.34%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.34%E -0.680%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 08:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -1.34%E -0.680%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 08:50
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%EV -3.34%E -1.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%EV -2.66%E -1.36%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-23 08:50
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.34%E -1.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-23 08:10
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.34%E -1.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.65%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 08:50
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 08:30
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 08:10
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 08:10
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-23 08:50
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.85%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.15%E -2.71%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 08:50
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.85%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.15%E -2.71%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 08:40
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.35%E -2.83%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.16%E -2.16%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 00:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.85%E -3.11%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.65%E -2.99%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 08:19
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.35%E -3.39%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 23:00
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.35%E -3.39%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.65%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 14:39
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.35%E -3.39%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.65%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 08:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.35%E -3.39%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.65%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 08:09
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.35%E -3.39%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.65%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 08:10
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.35%E -3.39%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.65%E -3.56%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 06:18
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.66%E -1.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 08:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.66%E -1.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 08:50
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.66%E -1.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 08:50
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.66%E -1.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.66%E -1.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 08:50
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.66%E -1.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 08:50
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-22 14:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-22 14:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-22 14:39
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-23 08:20
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.35%E -4.56%K -10.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.66%E -2.44%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 00:19
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.35%E -4.56%K -10.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -7.65%E -4.14%K -9.00%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-22 22:59
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.35%E -4.56%K -10.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.65%E -4.73%K -10.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-23 08:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.14%EV -9.35%E -5.17%K -11.55%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.86%EV -9.15%E -5.03%K -11.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-23 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.85%E -5.47%K -12.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.15%E -2.71%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-23 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.00%EV -11.36%E -6.42%K -14.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.00%EV -11.64%E -6.58%K -15.12%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-23 08:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.