Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Yomiuri Giants

Kickoff: 2026-08-06 09:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)

Prediction 51.87%1.93fair odd
EV +0.108%
Edge +0.056%
Kelly +0.117%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.21%51.76%52.11%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.811.801.9359.17%55.18%55.56%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yomiuri Giants (Visit)

Prediction 48.13%2.08fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -3.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%48.24%47.89%50.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.951.952.0054.64%51.31%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 51.87%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 48.13%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.928. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.930, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.108%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV +0.108%E +0.056%K +0.117%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -5.66%E -2.89%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 08:50
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV +0.108%E +0.056%K +0.117%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -10.00%E -5.35%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 08:50
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -0.929%E -0.486%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -6.15%E -3.15%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-06 08:50
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.49%E -1.32%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.59%E -3.95%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 08:50
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.49%E -1.32%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.59%E -3.95%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 08:49
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.00%E -1.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.07%E -4.23%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 08:55
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.00%E -1.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.00%E -5.35%K -11.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-06 08:50
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -4.04%E -2.18%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -4.22%E -2.12%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 07:25
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.04%E -2.18%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.07%E -4.23%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 06:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.08%E -2.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.08%E -2.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 08:50
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.08%E -2.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -11.92%E -6.51%K -14.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-06 08:55
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.60%E -3.08%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 07:10
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.60%E -3.08%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-06 08:49
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.63%E -3.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.15%E -3.15%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-06 07:10
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.63%E -3.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.07%E -4.23%K -8.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.63%E -3.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.07%E -4.23%K -8.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 08:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.63%E -3.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.07%E -4.23%K -8.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 08:50
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.63%E -3.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.07%E -4.23%K -8.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 06:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.63%E -3.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.55%E -4.50%K -9.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-06 07:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.15%E -4.00%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.15%E -4.00%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 08:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.15%E -4.00%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 08:45
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.15%E -4.00%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 08:45
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.15%E -4.00%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 08:45
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.15%E -4.00%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 08:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -7.15%E -4.00%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -4.22%E -2.12%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 07:15
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 07:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 06:55
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.74%E -1.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-06 06:10
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.15%E -3.15%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 08:00
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -6.15%E -3.15%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-06 08:05
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -9.75%E -5.60%K -13.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -6.15%E -3.15%K -6.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-06 06:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.35%EV -10.78%E -6.27%K -14.98%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.65%EV -9.03%E -4.78%K -10.15%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-06 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.39%EV -12.34%E -7.30%K -17.88%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.61%EV -10.48%E -5.63%K -12.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-06 08:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.