The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Yomiuri Giants

Kickoff: 2026-06-24 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)

Prediction 50.29%1.99fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -4.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%50.34%50.39%51.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.871.871.9154.64%53.36%53.48%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yomiuri Giants (Visit)

Prediction 49.71%2.01fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.542%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.18%49.66%49.61%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.901.911.9954.05%52.58%52.36%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 50.29%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 49.71%. For Yomiuri Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.99, with an expected value of -1.08%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -1.57%E -0.795%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-24 08:20
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.07%E -1.57%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-23 14:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.65%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 05:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.05%E -2.65%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 05:00
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.95%E -2.07%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.04%E -3.77%K -8.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 08:19
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.95%E -2.62%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.56%E -2.37%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 08:09
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.05%E -2.65%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 14:10
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.05%E -2.65%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 23:00
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.96%E -3.19%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.04%E -3.77%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-23 14:19
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.82%EV -6.96%E -3.76%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.18%EV -1.08%E -0.542%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 08:00
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.96%E -3.76%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.04%E -4.34%K -9.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-24 08:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.96%E -3.76%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.04%E -4.34%K -9.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-24 08:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.96%E -3.76%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.04%E -4.34%K -9.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-24 08:10
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.97%E -4.35%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.05%E -2.65%K -5.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 08:18
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.97%E -4.35%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -8.04%E -4.34%K -9.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-23 22:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.