Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Yomiuri Giants

Kickoff: 2026-04-07 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)

Prediction 52.95%1.89fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%52.78%53.25%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.781.801.8558.48%56.10%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yomiuri Giants (Visit)

Prediction 47.05%2.13fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.798%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%47.22%46.75%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.992.002.0952.63%50.26%50.00%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 52.95%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 47.05%. For Yomiuri Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.09, with an expected value of -1.67%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -2.04%E -1.10%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -5.43%E -2.70%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 08:35
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.10%E -1.69%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.14%E -5.31%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 08:25
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.45%EV -3.63%E -1.99%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.55%EV -1.67%E -0.798%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-07 08:55
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.63%E -1.99%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 08:55
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -3.63%E -1.99%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -9.19%E -4.76%K -9.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 08:50
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.69%E -2.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 08:50
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.69%E -2.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 08:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.69%E -2.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 08:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.69%E -2.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 08:40
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.69%E -2.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 08:39
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.69%E -2.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-07 08:45
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.69%E -2.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.31%E -3.71%K -7.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 08:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.69%E -2.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.78%E -3.97%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 08:30
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.69%E -2.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.78%E -3.97%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 08:30
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.69%E -2.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.78%E -3.97%K -8.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-07 08:30
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.69%E -2.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.14%E -5.31%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.69%E -2.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.14%E -5.31%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 08:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.69%E -2.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.14%E -5.31%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-07 08:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.69%E -2.60%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.61%E -5.58%K -11.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 08:54
William Hill🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.75%E -3.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.14%E -1.03%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 08:49
FanDuel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.75%E -3.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.02%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 08:50
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.28%E -3.55%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.28%E -3.55%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 08:50
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.28%E -3.55%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 08:55
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.34%E -4.19%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-07 08:34
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.87%E -4.52%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 08:45
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.87%E -4.52%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 08:42
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -7.87%E -4.52%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 08:39
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.87%E -4.52%K -10.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-07 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.99%EV -8.40%E -4.85%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -4.49%E -2.21%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 08:55
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.40%E -4.85%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 08:54
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.40%E -4.85%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-07 08:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.15%EV -9.45%E -5.53%K -13.32%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -8.72%E -4.50%K -9.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-07 08:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.