Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Yomiuri Giants

Kickoff: 2026-09-24 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)

Prediction 48.18%2.08fair odd
EV +1.17%
Edge +0.559%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%48.08%48.17%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.951.952.1055.56%51.40%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yomiuri Giants (Visit)

Prediction 51.82%1.93fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.535%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%51.92%51.83%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.811.821.9159.17%55.28%54.95%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 48.18%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 51.82%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +1.17%E +0.559%K +1.07%G +0.013%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.28%E -4.68%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +1.17%E +0.559%K +1.07%G +0.013%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.28%E -4.68%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 08:55
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.18%EV -0.752%E -0.365%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.82%EV -4.65%E -2.53%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-24 08:55
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -3.61%E -1.94%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-24 08:53
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-24 08:55
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-24 08:55
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.28%E -4.68%K -10.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-24 08:54
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -3.64%E -1.82%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -11.39%E -6.66%K -16.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-24 08:50
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.61%E -2.33%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.17%E -2.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 08:35
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.57%E -2.84%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 08:40
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.55%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.45%EV -4.65%E -2.53%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-23 19:59
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.17%E -2.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-24 08:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.68%E -3.12%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-24 08:40
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-24 08:35
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-24 08:35
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-24 08:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-24 08:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.05%E -3.10%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.31%E -5.32%K -12.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-24 06:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.53%E -3.37%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.17%E -2.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-23 20:00
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.53%E -3.37%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.17%E -2.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-23 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.53%E -3.37%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.17%E -2.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-23 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.53%E -3.37%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.17%E -2.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-23 20:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.53%E -3.37%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.17%E -2.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-23 20:05
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-24 08:10
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-24 08:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-24 08:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-24 08:10
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.72%E -3.73%K -8.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-24 08:05
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -8.46%E -4.45%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -4.65%E -2.53%K -5.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-24 08:50
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -9.91%E -5.30%K -11.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -1.02%E -0.535%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 00:35
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.91%E -5.30%K -11.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.09%E -1.65%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-23 13:55
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -11.83%E -6.47%K -14.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -4.13%E -2.23%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-24 00:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.31%EV -11.83%E -6.47%K -14.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.69%EV -11.39%E -6.66%K -16.04%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-24 08:38
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.42%EV -13.28%E -7.38%K -16.60%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 51.58%EV -12.42%E -7.35%K -18.00%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-24 08:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.