Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)

Prediction 49.69%2.01fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.69%49.77%49.48%51.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.891.911.9755.87%52.79%52.36%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)

Prediction 50.31%1.99fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -3.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.65%50.23%50.52%51.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.861.851.9257.14%53.64%53.91%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 49.69%; Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit): 50.31%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.97, with an expected value of -2.10%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV -2.10%E -1.07%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -3.41%E -1.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-20 08:29
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -2.10%E -1.07%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -4.92%E -2.60%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-20 08:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -2.60%E -1.33%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -6.43%E -3.46%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 08:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -2.60%E -1.33%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -6.43%E -3.46%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 08:49
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.09%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.92%E -2.60%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 08:49
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.09%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 08:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.09%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 08:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.09%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 08:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.09%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 08:09
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.09%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 08:49
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.09%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-20 08:09
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.42%E -2.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 08:49
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.59%E -2.39%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.42%E -2.88%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 08:49
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 15:40
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 16:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 05:59
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 07:19
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.94%E -4.34%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 05:48
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.94%E -4.34%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 08:48
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.08%E -3.22%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.41%E -1.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 05:59
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -7.07%E -3.78%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -3.41%E -1.78%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.07%E -3.78%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 15:29
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.07%E -3.78%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 22:29
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.07%E -3.78%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.94%E -4.34%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 05:48
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.07%E -3.78%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.94%E -4.34%K -9.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 08:09
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 05:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 05:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 05:59
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 22:28
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 07:19
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.06%E -4.95%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 16:29
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.06%E -4.95%K -10.92%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.94%E -4.34%K -9.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.55%E -5.86%K -13.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.42%E -2.32%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.44%EV -11.05%E -6.17%K -13.99%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.56%EV -11.96%E -6.84%K -15.95%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-20 08:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.