The School of Odds
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Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)

Prediction 43.87%2.28fair odd
EV -0.853%
Edge -0.377%
Kelly -0.677%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%43.87%44.01%44.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.152.152.2648.78%46.53%46.51%44.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)

Prediction 56.13%1.78fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -3.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.11%56.13%55.99%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.671.7461.73%59.56%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 43.87%; Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit): 56.13%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.26, with an expected value of -0.853%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -0.853%E -0.377%K -0.677%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -4.58%E -2.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-18 04:55
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.46%E -2.01%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 04:45
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 04:40
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.14%E -3.04%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 04:35
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 04:45
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 04:50
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.48%E -1.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.39%E -4.48%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 04:55
William Hill🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.92%E -1.79%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 13:54
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.36%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.39%E -4.48%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.36%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.39%E -4.48%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 16:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.36%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.39%E -4.48%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 16:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.36%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.39%E -4.48%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 16:54
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.36%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.39%E -4.48%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 16:54
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.36%E -2.00%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.39%E -4.48%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 16:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.68%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.33%E -1.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 21:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.68%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.33%E -1.34%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 21:05
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.68%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.58%E -2.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 04:50
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.68%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.58%E -2.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 04:50
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.68%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.14%E -3.04%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 13:47
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.68%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 13:38
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.68%E -2.64%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.07%E -5.60%K -14.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 04:40
BetUS🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -6.56%E -3.08%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -4.58%E -2.69%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 04:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%EV -7.43%E -3.52%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -5.70%E -3.39%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 04:49
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.02%E -2.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 04:40
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.14%E -3.04%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 04:55
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 04:39
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 04:40
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 13:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 13:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 13:49
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.87%E -3.75%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 04:40
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -10.07%E -4.91%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -6.26%E -3.75%K -9.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 04:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -10.07%E -4.91%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -7.95%E -4.85%K -12.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 04:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.