The School of Odds

Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

2026-07-14 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)

Prediction 45.36%2.20fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.724%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.00%45.40%45.45%47.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.952.082.102.1751%48%48%46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)

Prediction 54.64%1.83fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -4.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.70%54.60%54.55%56.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.731.7761%58%58%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -1.57%E -0.724%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -3.83%E -2.18%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-13 20:30
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.48%E -1.15%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.92%E -2.83%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-13 21:54
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.48%E -1.15%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.92%E -2.83%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-13 21:55
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -3.84%E -1.81%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -3.28%E -1.86%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-13 13:45
William Hill2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.84%E -1.81%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.38%E -2.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-13 13:39
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.84%E -1.81%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.47%E -3.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 13:34
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.84%E -1.81%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.11%E -4.18%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 14:34
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.84%E -1.81%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.11%E -4.18%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.84%E -1.81%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.11%E -4.18%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 14:34
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.84%E -1.81%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.11%E -4.18%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 14:34
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.84%E -1.81%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.11%E -4.18%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 14:39
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.84%E -1.81%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.11%E -4.18%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 14:44
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.75%E -2.26%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.28%E -1.86%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-13 13:29
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.75%E -2.26%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.38%E -2.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-13 13:29
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.75%E -2.26%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.38%E -2.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-13 13:30
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.75%E -2.26%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.38%E -2.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-13 13:29
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.75%E -2.26%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.92%E -2.83%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-13 13:59
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.75%E -2.26%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.56%E -3.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-13 13:40
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.75%E -2.26%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.66%E -4.53%K -11.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-13 18:20
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.75%E -2.26%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.75%E -5.24%K -13.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-13 13:35
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.75%E -2.26%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.75%E -5.24%K -13.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-13 13:40
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.75%E -2.26%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.75%E -5.24%K -13.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-13 13:40
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.75%E -2.26%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.84%E -5.96%K -15.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-13 19:58
MyBookie.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -6.11%E -2.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -4.92%E -2.83%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-13 13:34
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.92%E -2.83%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-13 13:29
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.92%E -2.83%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-13 13:40
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.47%E -3.16%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-13 13:29
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -8.38%E -4.15%K -8.21%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -3.83%E -2.18%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-13 20:40
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.56%E -3.84%K -9.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-13 18:04
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.75%E -5.24%K -13.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-13 21:04
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -10.19%E -5.15%K -10.40%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%EV -8.20%E -4.88%K -12.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-13 13:30
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -11.10%E -5.66%K -11.56%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -9.30%E -5.60%K -14.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 21:04
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -11.55%E -5.92%K -12.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -4.38%E -2.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-13 19:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.