Language:English
Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Yokohama DeNA BayStars
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)
Prediction 44.51%2.25fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.535%
Kelly -0.974%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.97%44.43%44.47%47.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.112.112.2251.02%47.40%47.39%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)
Prediction 55.49%1.80fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.689%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.66%55.57%55.53%57.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.701.701.7862.11%58.83%58.82%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 44.51%; Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit): 55.49%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.22, with an expected value of -1.19%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -1.19%E -0.535%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -4.56%E -2.65%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-14 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.08%E -0.945%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-14 08:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.08%E -0.945%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-14 08:44 |
| William Hill | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -2.52%E -1.15%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-14 06:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -2.97%E -1.36%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -4.00%E -2.31%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-14 08:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.41%E -1.57%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.67%E -3.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-14 08:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.86%E -1.79%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.67%E -3.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-14 06:19 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-14 05:34 |
| Betsson | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.56%E -2.65%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-14 08:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.56%E -2.65%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-14 08:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -4.30%E -2.00%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -10.11%E -6.24%K -16.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-14 07:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.67%E -3.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-14 08:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.67%E -3.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-14 08:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.67%E -3.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-14 08:04 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.67%E -3.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-14 08:04 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.67%E -3.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-14 08:04 |
| Bally Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.64%E -2.66%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.67%E -3.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-14 08:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -6.08%E -2.88%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -5.67%E -3.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-14 06:24 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-14 08:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-14 05:29 |
| Caesars | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-13 13:40 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-14 06:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.11%E -2.99%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-13 23:59 |
| ReBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.22%E -3.68%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-14 08:04 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-14 06:19 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-13 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-13 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.53%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.33%E -4.39%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-13 13:40 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.76%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.45%E -1.98%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-14 08:55 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.76%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.67%E -3.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-13 23:59 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.76%E -4.27%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.22%E -3.68%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-14 05:34 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.98%E -5.49%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.67%E -3.33%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-14 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -10.98%E -5.49%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -9.00%E -5.49%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-14 08:49 |
| BetUS | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -11.87%E -6.00%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -1.23%E -0.689%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-14 08:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.10%EV -12.76%E -6.51%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.90%EV -10.66%E -6.62%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-14 08:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.