Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

Kickoff: 2026-08-26 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)

Prediction 36.54%2.74fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.635%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.37%36.58%36.59%37.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.362.582.602.6942.37%38.77%38.46%37.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)

Prediction 63.46%1.58fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.643%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.23%63.42%63.41%64.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.491.481.5670.92%67.29%67.57%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 36.54%; Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit): 63.46%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.56, with an expected value of -1.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -1.71%E -0.635%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -3.54%E -2.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-26 08:29
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -2.07%E -0.773%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 13:20
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-26 08:49
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.17%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.98%E -5.51%K -17.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-25 21:49
BetUS🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV -3.53%E -1.34%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV -3.54%E -2.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-26 08:29
1xBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -3.90%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.54%E -2.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-26 08:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -3.90%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-26 08:19
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -3.90%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-26 08:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -3.90%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-26 08:19
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -3.90%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-26 08:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -3.90%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-26 08:19
Bally Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -3.90%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-26 08:18
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 07:49
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 13:53
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 13:20
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 07:49
Caesars🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 13:24
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-26 07:54
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.00%E -1.92%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.62%E -5.98%K -19.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-25 21:49
MyBookie.ag🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52%EV -5.36%E -2.07%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -5.44%E -3.65%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-25 13:23
BetOnline.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -6.09%E -2.37%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -1.00%E -0.643%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-26 08:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -6.09%E -2.37%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -1.00%E -0.643%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-26 08:44
ReBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-26 08:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-25 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.82%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.98%E -5.51%K -17.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-25 14:49
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-25 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-25 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.81%E -3.21%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-25 13:53
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-25 13:20
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.08%E -4.11%K -12.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-25 18:04
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.65%E -3.46%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.98%E -5.51%K -17.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-26 08:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.86%EV -10.48%E -4.28%K -7.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.14%EV -9.25%E -6.47%K -21.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-26 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 37.40%EV -13.77%E -5.83%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.60%EV -10.52%E -7.46%K -25.66%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-26 08:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.