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Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Tokyo Yakult Swallows
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)
Prediction 54.72%1.83fair odd
EV -0.413%
Edge -0.227%
Kelly -0.503%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.60%54.63%54.59%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.731.8260.61%58.02%57.80%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)
Prediction 45.28%2.21fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%45.37%45.41%47.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.072.082.1551.28%48.24%48.08%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 54.72%; Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit): 45.28%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.82, with an expected value of -0.413%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -0.413%E -0.227%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-22 08:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -0.413%E -0.227%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -8.53%E -4.22%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-22 08:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -2.60%E -1.46%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -3.10%E -1.45%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 08:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.60%E -1.46%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.81%E -2.80%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -2.60%E -1.46%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -10.34%E -5.22%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 08:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -3.15%E -1.78%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-22 07:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.24%E -2.42%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.91%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 08:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -4.24%E -2.42%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -11.70%E -6.00%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 08:43 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.79%E -2.75%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.79%E -2.75%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.91%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.79%E -2.75%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 08:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.79%E -2.75%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 08:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.79%E -2.75%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 08:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.85%EV -4.79%E -2.75%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.15%EV -8.08%E -3.98%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 08:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 08:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.44%E -4.72%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 08:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.44%E -4.72%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 08:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.44%E -4.72%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 08:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.88%E -3.42%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.88%E -3.42%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.43%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.10%E -1.45%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.43%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.43%E -3.76%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.44%E -4.72%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 08:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.98%E -4.11%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.44%E -4.72%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 08:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.53%E -4.45%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-21 15:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.53%E -4.45%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.17%E -3.50%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 08:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.07%E -4.81%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 08:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.07%E -4.81%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 08:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.07%E -4.81%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 08:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.07%E -4.81%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 08:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.07%E -4.81%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 08:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.07%E -4.81%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 08:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.62%E -5.16%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -9.17%E -5.52%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -9.44%E -4.72%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.71%E -5.89%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.91%E -2.34%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-21 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.