The School of Odds
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Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

2026-08-29 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)

Prediction 53.87%1.86fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -3.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.70%53.88%53.91%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.741.741.8059.88%57.49%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)

Prediction 46.13%2.17fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%46.12%46.09%47.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.042.052.1152.36%48.93%48.78%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 53.87%; Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit): 46.13%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.11, with an expected value of -2.66%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -3.04%E -1.69%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.66%E -1.26%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-28 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.04%E -1.69%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.04%E -1.69%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-28 14:35
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -3.57%E -2.00%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -3.59%E -1.72%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-28 14:35
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.11%E -2.31%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 14:35
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.11%E -2.31%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 14:35
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.65%E -2.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-28 14:35
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.65%E -2.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 15:01
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.19%E -2.95%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.05%E -1.95%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-28 14:35
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.73%E -3.27%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 14:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.73%E -3.27%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -5.89%E -2.89%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 14:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.73%E -3.27%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.04%E -5.15%K -10.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-28 16:45
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.27%E -3.60%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 14:35
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.27%E -3.60%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 14:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.27%E -3.60%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 14:35
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.27%E -3.60%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.43%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 15:07
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.81%E -3.93%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 14:35
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.81%E -3.93%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.81%E -3.93%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.81%E -3.93%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 14:36
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.88%E -4.61%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.88%E -4.61%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 16:39
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.88%E -4.61%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.88%E -4.61%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 16:40
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.88%E -4.61%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 16:40
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.88%E -4.61%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.12%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 16:39
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.88%E -4.61%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.70%EV -8.96%E -5.30%K -12.99%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.30%EV -9.58%E -4.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-28 14:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.48%EV -10.04%E -6.01%K -14.98%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.52%EV -11.43%E -5.95%K -12.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-28 14:35
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.35%EV -10.04%E -6.01%K -14.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.65%EV -11.89%E -6.22%K -13.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-28 14:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.