Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

2026-07-08 09:00 — NPB

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Option 1: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)

Odds

1.6162.11%Min

1.6660.33%Mean

1.6660.24%Median

1.7258.14%Max

Consensus probabilities

54.86%1.823Min

57.77%1.731Max

56.74%1.762Mean

56.70%1.764Median

56.72%1.763IQM

56.74%1.762Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.72 under the IQM model: 56.72%

EV -2.45%Edge -1.42%Kelly -3.40%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)

Odds

2.0548.78%Min

2.1845.90%Mean

2.2045.45%Median

2.2544.44%Max

Consensus probabilities

42.23%2.368Min

45.14%2.215Max

43.26%2.312Mean

43.30%2.310Median

43.28%2.310IQM

43.26%2.312Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.25 under the IQM model: 43.28%

EV -2.61%Edge -1.16%Kelly -2.09%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local) ▼	Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle	1.72I 58.14% NM 56.46%EV -2.45% E -1.42% K -3.40% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 43.54%EV -3.48% E -1.56% K -2.83% G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-07-08 00:10
1xBet	1.72I 58.14% NM 56.12%EV -2.45% E -1.42% K -3.40% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.88%EV -4.78% E -2.17% K -3.98% G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-07-08 00:14
BetUS	1.72I 58.14% NM 54.86%EV -2.45% E -1.42% K -3.40% G +0.000%	2.09I 47.85% NM 45.14%EV -9.54% E -4.56% K -8.75% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-08 00:10
Fanatics	1.71I 58.48% NM 56.27%EV -3.01% E -1.76% K -4.25% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.73%EV -4.78% E -2.17% K -3.98% G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-07 13:55
William Hill	1.71I 58.48% NM 56.15%EV -3.01% E -1.76% K -4.25% G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66% NM 43.85%EV -5.21% E -2.38% K -4.38% G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-07 14:14
LowVig.ag	1.69I 59.17% NM 57.11%EV -4.15% E -2.45% K -6.01% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.89%EV -2.61% E -1.16% K -2.09% G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-07-07 14:05
BetOnline.ag	1.69I 59.17% NM 57.11%EV -4.15% E -2.45% K -6.01% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.89%EV -2.61% E -1.16% K -2.09% G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-07-07 14:05
DraftKings	1.69I 59.17% NM 56.56%EV -4.15% E -2.45% K -6.01% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.44%EV -4.78% E -2.17% K -3.98% G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-07 19:20
FanDuel	1.69I 59.17% NM 56.33%EV -4.15% E -2.45% K -6.01% G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87% NM 43.67%EV -5.64% E -2.59% K -4.78% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-07 13:55
NordicBet	1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -4.72% E -2.81% K -6.93% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -4.78% E -2.17% K -3.98% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-08 00:35
Betsson	1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -4.72% E -2.81% K -6.93% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -4.78% E -2.17% K -3.98% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-08 00:35
MyBookie.ag	1.68I 59.52% NM 56.14%EV -4.72% E -2.81% K -6.93% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 43.86%EV -6.94% E -3.23% K -6.04% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-07 14:00
Caesars	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -5.28% E -3.16% K -7.88% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -4.78% E -2.17% K -3.98% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-07 14:04
theScore Bet	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -5.28% E -3.16% K -7.88% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -6.94% E -3.23% K -6.04% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-07 13:54
Hard Rock Bet	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -5.28% E -3.16% K -7.88% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -6.94% E -3.23% K -6.04% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-07 13:54
Bovada	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -5.28% E -3.16% K -7.88% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -6.94% E -3.23% K -6.04% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-07 16:36
Betway	1.67I 59.88% NM 55.70%EV -5.28% E -3.16% K -7.88% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 44.30%EV -9.11% E -4.34% K -8.28% G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-07 18:14
Coolbet	1.66I 60.24% NM 57.33%EV -5.85% E -3.52% K -8.86% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 42.67%EV -3.48% E -1.56% K -2.83% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-07 23:14
BetMGM	1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -6.42% E -3.89% K -9.87% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -4.78% E -2.17% K -3.98% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-08 00:15
Fliff	1.65I 60.61% NM 56.58%EV -6.42% E -3.89% K -9.87% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 43.42%EV -6.94% E -3.23% K -6.04% G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-07 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)	1.63I 61.35% NM 57.77%EV -7.55% E -4.63% K -11.99% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 42.23%EV -3.48% E -1.56% K -2.83% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-07 18:19
Unibet	1.63I 61.35% NM 57.77%EV -7.55% E -4.63% K -11.99% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 42.23%EV -3.48% E -1.56% K -2.83% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-07 18:19
Bally Bet	1.63I 61.35% NM 57.77%EV -7.55% E -4.63% K -11.99% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 42.23%EV -3.48% E -1.56% K -2.83% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-07 18:19
Unibet (SE)	1.63I 61.35% NM 57.77%EV -7.55% E -4.63% K -11.99% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 42.23%EV -3.48% E -1.56% K -2.83% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-07 18:24
BetRivers	1.63I 61.35% NM 57.77%EV -7.55% E -4.63% K -11.99% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 42.23%EV -3.48% E -1.56% K -2.83% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-07 18:25
PMU (FR)	1.63I 61.35% NM 57.77%EV -7.55% E -4.63% K -11.99% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 42.23%EV -3.48% E -1.56% K -2.83% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-07 18:24
Betclic (FR)	1.63I 61.35% NM 55.83%EV -7.55% E -4.63% K -11.99% G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54% NM 44.17%EV -10.84% E -5.26% K -10.22% G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-07-07 13:54
Tipico (DE)	1.62I 61.73% NM 57.03%EV -8.12% E -5.01% K -13.09% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 42.97%EV -6.94% E -3.23% K -6.04% G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-07 21:20
Everygame	1.62I 61.73% NM 57.03%EV -8.12% E -5.01% K -13.09% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 42.97%EV -6.94% E -3.23% K -6.04% G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-07 20:59
ReBet	1.62I 61.73% NM 55.86%EV -8.12% E -5.01% K -13.09% G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78% NM 44.14%EV -11.27% E -5.50% K -10.73% G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-07-07 21:04
888sport	1.61I 62.11% NM 57.74%EV -8.69% E -5.39% K -14.24% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.26%EV -4.78% E -2.17% K -3.98% G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-07 23:05
888sport (SE)	1.61I 62.11% NM 57.74%EV -8.69% E -5.39% K -14.24% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.26%EV -4.78% E -2.17% K -3.98% G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-07 23:09
Mr Green (SE)	1.61I 62.11% NM 57.74%EV -8.69% E -5.39% K -14.24% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 42.26%EV -4.78% E -2.17% K -3.98% G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-07 23:10
Coral	1.61I 62.11% NM 57.18%EV -8.69% E -5.39% K -14.24% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 42.82%EV -6.94% E -3.23% K -6.04% G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-07-08 00:05
Unibet (FR)	1.61I 62.11% NM 56.01%EV -8.69% E -5.39% K -14.24% G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78% NM 43.99%EV -11.27% E -5.50% K -10.73% G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-07-07 21:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth