La scuola delle quote

Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

Inizio: 2026-05-10 04:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

35 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Casa)

Previsione 51.58%1.94quota equa
EV -2.50%
Vantaggio -1.33%
Kelly -2.81%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.89

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.87%51.47%51.59%53.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.821.821.8957.14%54.87%54.95%52.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.42%2.07quota equa
EV +0.703%
Vantaggio +0.338%
Kelly +0.651%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.11%48.53%48.41%50.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.851.941.932.0854.05%51.54%51.81%48.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
William Hill1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -8.18%E -4.59%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV +0.703%E +0.338%K +0.651%G +0.005%4.3%2026-05-10 04:24
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -6.63%E -3.66%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -1.72%E -0.846%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-10 04:24
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -6.63%E -3.66%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -1.72%E -0.846%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-10 04:24
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV -3.02%E -1.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-10 04:19
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.17%E -1.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 04:20
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.12%E -3.36%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.17%E -1.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 04:24
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.12%E -3.36%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.17%E -1.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 04:25
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.17%E -1.58%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 04:24
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -3.02%E -1.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -4.14%E -2.09%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 04:19
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.57%E -2.47%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.11%E -2.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 04:25
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 04:25
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 04:20
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 04:20
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 04:24
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 04:19
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 04:13
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.73%E -5.56%K -12.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 04:24
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -6.12%E -3.36%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -6.56%E -3.40%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 04:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -6.12%E -3.36%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -6.56%E -3.40%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 04:25
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -6.12%E -3.36%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -6.56%E -3.40%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 04:24
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -6.12%E -3.36%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -6.56%E -3.40%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 04:25
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -6.12%E -3.36%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -6.56%E -3.40%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 04:24
Bally Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -6.12%E -3.36%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -6.56%E -3.40%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 04:25
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -6.63%E -3.66%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.56%E -3.40%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 04:24
Coolbet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -2.50%E -1.33%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -7.04%E -3.67%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 04:20
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 04:20
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.53%E -3.94%K -8.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 04:24
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.01%E -4.22%K -8.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 04:24
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -9.21%E -5.23%K -12.12%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -8.98%E -4.78%K -10.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 04:19
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -3.02%E -1.61%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -9.46%E -5.06%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 04:14
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.54%E -1.89%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.46%E -5.06%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 09:58
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.47%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.43%E -5.64%K -12.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 04:09
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.47%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.43%E -5.64%K -12.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 04:09
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.47%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.43%E -5.64%K -12.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 04:09
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.47%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.43%E -5.64%K -12.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 04:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.