The School of Odds

Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

2026-07-07 09:00 — NPB

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Option 1: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)

Odds
1.7357.80%Min
1.8354.76%Mean
1.8454.35%Median
1.8853.19%Max
Consensus probabilities
50.00%2.000Min
52.70%1.897Max
51.56%1.939Mean
51.59%1.938Median
51.61%1.938IQM
51.58%1.939Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.88 under the IQM model: 51.61%

EV -2.98%Edge -1.58%Kelly -3.38%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)

Odds
1.8354.64%Min
1.9351.72%Mean
1.9451.55%Median
2.0249.50%Max
Consensus probabilities
47.30%2.114Min
50.00%2.000Max
48.44%2.065Mean
48.41%2.066Median
48.39%2.066IQM
48.42%2.065Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.02 under the IQM model: 48.39%

EV -2.25%Edge -1.11%Kelly -2.20%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

BookmakerHiroshima Toyo Carp (Local) ▼Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)MarginUpdated
1xBet1.88I 53.19% NM 51.30%EV -2.98% E -1.58% K -3.38% G +0.000%1.98I 50.51% NM 48.70%EV -4.18% E -2.11% K -4.27% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-06 17:29
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48% NM 51.93%EV -3.49% E -1.87% K -4.02% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 48.07%EV -2.25% E -1.11% K -2.20% G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-06 19:15
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -3.49% E -1.87% K -4.02% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -5.63% E -2.89% K -5.93% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 14:10
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -3.49% E -1.87% K -4.02% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -5.63% E -2.89% K -5.93% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 14:10
Caesars1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -3.49% E -1.87% K -4.02% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -9.51% E -5.08% K -10.93% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 14:04
BetUS1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -3.49% E -1.87% K -4.02% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -9.51% E -5.08% K -10.93% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 20:40
Unibet1.86I 53.76% NM 50.92%EV -4.01% E -2.16% K -4.66% G +0.000%1.93I 51.81% NM 49.08%EV -6.60% E -3.42% K -7.10% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 15:24
William Hill1.85I 54.05% NM 51.82%EV -4.53% E -2.45% K -5.33% G +0.000%1.99I 50.25% NM 48.18%EV -3.70% E -1.86% K -3.74% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-06 14:04
Betsson1.85I 54.05% NM 51.70%EV -4.53% E -2.45% K -5.33% G +0.000%1.98I 50.51% NM 48.30%EV -4.18% E -2.11% K -4.27% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 19:14
NordicBet1.85I 54.05% NM 51.70%EV -4.53% E -2.45% K -5.33% G +0.000%1.98I 50.51% NM 48.30%EV -4.18% E -2.11% K -4.27% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 19:15
FanDuel1.85I 54.05% NM 51.44%EV -4.53% E -2.45% K -5.33% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.56%EV -5.15% E -2.63% K -5.36% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 14:05
Coolbet1.85I 54.05% NM 51.44%EV -4.53% E -2.45% K -5.33% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.56%EV -5.15% E -2.63% K -5.36% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 14:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05% NM 51.06%EV -4.53% E -2.45% K -5.33% G +0.000%1.93I 51.81% NM 48.94%EV -6.60% E -3.42% K -7.10% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 15:19
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05% NM 51.06%EV -4.53% E -2.45% K -5.33% G +0.000%1.93I 51.81% NM 48.94%EV -6.60% E -3.42% K -7.10% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 15:19
BetRivers1.85I 54.05% NM 51.06%EV -4.53% E -2.45% K -5.33% G +0.000%1.93I 51.81% NM 48.94%EV -6.60% E -3.42% K -7.10% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 15:19
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05% NM 51.06%EV -4.53% E -2.45% K -5.33% G +0.000%1.93I 51.81% NM 48.94%EV -6.60% E -3.42% K -7.10% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 15:19
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05% NM 51.06%EV -4.53% E -2.45% K -5.33% G +0.000%1.93I 51.81% NM 48.94%EV -6.60% E -3.42% K -7.10% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 15:25
Fanatics1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -5.56% E -3.04% K -6.70% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -3.21% E -1.61% K -3.21% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-06 14:04
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64% NM 51.59%EV -5.56% E -3.04% K -6.70% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.41%EV -5.63% E -2.89% K -5.93% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 14:04
MyBookie.ag1.83I 54.64% NM 51.59%EV -5.56% E -3.04% K -6.70% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.41%EV -5.63% E -2.89% K -5.93% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 14:03
DraftKings1.83I 54.64% NM 51.59%EV -5.56% E -3.04% K -6.70% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.41%EV -5.63% E -2.89% K -5.93% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 14:55
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56% NM 52.00%EV -7.11% E -3.95% K -8.88% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.00%EV -5.63% E -2.89% K -5.93% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 14:04
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56% NM 52.00%EV -7.11% E -3.95% K -8.88% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.00%EV -5.63% E -2.89% K -5.93% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 14:04
Bovada1.80I 55.56% NM 52.00%EV -7.11% E -3.95% K -8.88% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.00%EV -5.63% E -2.89% K -5.93% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 14:43
888sport1.80I 55.56% NM 51.48%EV -7.11% E -3.95% K -8.88% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 48.52%EV -7.57% E -3.96% K -8.32% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-06 14:04
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56% NM 51.48%EV -7.11% E -3.95% K -8.88% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 48.52%EV -7.57% E -3.96% K -8.32% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-06 14:04
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56% NM 51.48%EV -7.11% E -3.95% K -8.88% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 48.52%EV -7.57% E -3.96% K -8.32% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-06 14:05
Betway1.80I 55.56% NM 51.48%EV -7.11% E -3.95% K -8.88% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 48.52%EV -7.57% E -3.96% K -8.32% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-06 18:10
Everygame1.80I 55.56% NM 51.35%EV -7.11% E -3.95% K -8.88% G +0.000%1.90I 52.63% NM 48.65%EV -8.05% E -4.24% K -8.95% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 18:20
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82% NM 51.65%EV -9.17% E -5.21% K -12.07% G +0.000%1.88I 53.19% NM 48.35%EV -9.02% E -4.80% K -10.25% G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-06 14:05
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14% NM 52.70%EV -9.69% E -5.54% K -12.92% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 47.30%EV -5.63% E -2.89% K -5.93% G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-06 15:19
ReBet1.74I 57.47% NM 51.26%EV -10.20% E -5.86% K -13.79% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 48.74%EV -11.44% E -6.25% K -13.78% G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-06 14:05
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80% NM 51.54%EV -10.72% E -6.20% K -14.68% G +0.000%1.84I 54.35% NM 48.46%EV -10.96% E -5.95% K -13.04% G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-06 14:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth