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Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)
Prediction 42.78%2.34fair odd
EV -0.747%
Edge -0.322%
Kelly -0.566%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.69%43.08%42.41%47.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.162.172.3251.28%46.25%46.08%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)
Prediction 57.22%1.75fair odd
EV +1.28%
Edge +0.721%
Kelly +1.66%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.42%56.92%57.59%58.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.671.671.7764.52%60.01%59.88%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 42.78%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 57.22%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.28%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -16.58%E -8.50%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV +1.28%E +0.721%K +1.66%G +0.021% | 7.8% | 2026-06-04 08:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -12.30%E -6.00%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -0.440%E -0.253%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-04 08:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -11.01%E -5.30%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -1.58%E -0.921%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-04 08:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -11.01%E -5.30%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -1.58%E -0.921%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-04 08:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -11.01%E -5.30%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -1.58%E -0.921%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-04 08:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -11.01%E -5.30%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -1.58%E -0.921%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-04 08:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -11.01%E -5.30%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -1.58%E -0.921%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-04 08:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -11.01%E -5.30%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -1.58%E -0.921%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-04 08:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -7.16%E -3.30%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -2.73%E -1.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-04 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.73%E -1.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-04 08:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.73%E -1.60%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-04 08:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -3.30%E -1.95%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-04 08:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.46%E -1.08%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.87%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-04 08:38 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -2.46%E -1.08%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.87%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-04 08:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.89%E -1.27%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.87%E -2.31%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-04 08:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -0.747%E -0.322%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-04 08:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.60%E -0.697%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-04 08:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -6.31%E -2.88%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.74%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-04 08:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-04 08:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-04 08:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.66%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-04 08:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.46%E -1.08%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.02%E -3.02%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-04 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.74%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.59%E -3.39%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-04 08:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.02%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.59%E -3.39%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-04 08:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.03%E -2.26%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -6.16%E -3.76%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-04 08:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.46%E -1.08%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.73%E -4.13%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-04 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.31%E -4.51%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-04 08:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.31%E -4.51%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-04 08:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.31%E -4.51%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-04 08:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.74%E -1.66%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.88%E -4.89%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-04 08:38 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.88%E -4.89%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-04 08:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.45%E -5.28%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-04 08:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.88%E -2.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.45%E -5.28%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-04 08:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.16%E -4.84%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -9.59%E -6.07%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-04 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -11.87%E -5.76%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.06%EV -11.31%E -7.30%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-06-04 08:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.