Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.98
assuming max odds 1.52
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 35.52%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 64.48%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.86%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV +5.86%E +1.96%K +2.96%G +0.173% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -9.73%E -6.95%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +3.01%E +1.04%K +1.59%G +0.048% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -7.80%E -5.45%K -18.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.539%E -0.192%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.57%E -3.09%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -0.539%E -0.192%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -4.57%E -3.09%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.66%EV -0.894%E -0.320%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.34%EV -4.57%E -3.09%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-16 08:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.31%E -0.842%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.73%E -6.95%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.09%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.57%E -3.09%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.09%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.57%E -3.09%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.09%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.57%E -3.09%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.09%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.22%E -3.55%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.09%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.15%E -4.97%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 08:38 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%EV -4.80%E -1.79%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.89%EV -6.51%E -4.49%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -5.51%E -2.07%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -2.64%E -1.75%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -5.87%E -2.21%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -3.93%E -2.64%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.87%E -2.21%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.15%E -4.97%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.87%E -2.21%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.15%E -4.97%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.87%E -2.21%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.15%E -4.97%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -6.58%E -2.50%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -1.99%E -1.31%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.58%E -2.50%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.22%E -3.55%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.58%E -2.50%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.22%E -3.55%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.58%E -2.50%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.22%E -3.55%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.58%E -2.50%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.22%E -3.55%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.58%E -2.50%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.22%E -3.55%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.58%E -2.50%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.22%E -3.55%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.93%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.15%E -4.97%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.93%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.15%E -4.97%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 08:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.93%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.15%E -4.97%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.93%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.15%E -4.97%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 08:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.57%E -3.09%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 07:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.57%E -3.09%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 08:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.57%E -3.09%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 03:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.64%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.15%E -4.97%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-16 08:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -9.42%E -3.69%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -8.44%E -5.94%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-16 08:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.15%E -4.97%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-16 03:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 36.29%EV -13.33%E -5.46%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.71%EV -10.38%E -7.46%K -26.60%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-16 08:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.