Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.90
assuming max odds 1.53
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 34.57%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 65.43%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.266%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.266%E +0.092%K +0.140%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.44%E -4.50%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-28 04:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -1.12%E -0.391%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-28 04:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -1.12%E -0.391%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-28 04:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -1.46%E -0.513%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -10.37%E -7.57%K -28.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-28 04:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -1.81%E -0.637%K -0.983%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-28 04:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.19%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 04:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV -4.23%E -1.53%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-28 04:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -4.57%E -1.66%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-28 04:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.44%E -4.50%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-28 04:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.44%E -4.50%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-28 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.40%E -6.00%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-28 04:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.40%E -6.00%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-28 04:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.92%E -1.79%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.40%E -6.00%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-28 04:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.00%EV -5.61%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.00%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-28 04:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-28 03:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.17%E -2.14%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-28 03:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.82%E -2.60%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-28 04:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.44%E -4.50%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-28 04:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.65%E -2.46%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.40%E -6.00%K -21.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-28 00:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.35%EV -7.69%E -2.88%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.65%EV -4.48%E -3.07%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-28 04:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.48%E -3.07%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-28 04:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.48%E -3.07%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-28 04:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-27 14:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-28 04:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-28 04:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-28 04:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-28 04:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.38%E -3.16%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-28 04:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.42%E -3.59%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 14:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.42%E -3.59%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.42%E -3.59%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 14:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.42%E -3.59%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.79%E -4.02%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-28 04:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.11%E -3.89%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.13%E -3.54%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-28 04:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -10.80%E -4.19%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV +0.101%E +0.066%K +0.191%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-28 00:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -11.84%E -4.64%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -7.10%E -5.00%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-28 04:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.39%EV -15.98%E -6.58%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.61%EV -9.06%E -6.52%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-06-28 04:38 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.