Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.93
assuming max odds 2.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 50.97%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 49.03%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.93, with an expected value of -1.63%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.63%E -0.847%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.33%E -3.88%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-17 12:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.63%E -0.847%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.33%E -3.88%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-17 12:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.65%E -1.39%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-17 16:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -3.67%E -1.94%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -1.93%E -0.967%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-18 08:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.67%E -1.94%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.40%E -1.73%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-18 08:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -3.67%E -1.94%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -8.31%E -4.44%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-18 08:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.18%E -2.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.88%E -2.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-18 08:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.69%E -2.51%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.39%E -2.25%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-18 07:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.69%E -2.51%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.69%E -2.51%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 08:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.69%E -2.51%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.69%E -2.51%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.69%E -2.51%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 08:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.69%E -2.51%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 08:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.69%E -2.51%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-18 00:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.89%E -1.99%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 08:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.39%E -2.25%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 08:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.39%E -2.25%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 08:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.86%E -3.05%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 08:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.71%E -3.09%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.29%E -5.02%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-18 08:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 07:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 08:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 07:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 07:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-17 13:12 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 08:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.29%E -5.02%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-18 00:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.73%E -3.68%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.27%E -5.61%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 08:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-18 08:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-18 08:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-18 08:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-18 08:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.35%E -3.32%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-18 07:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.26%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.84%E -3.60%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-17 13:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.83%EV -9.79%E -5.53%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.17%EV -10.27%E -5.61%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 08:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.85%EV -11.32%E -6.50%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.15%EV -11.74%E -6.52%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-18 08:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.