Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp v Hanshin Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local)

Prediction 39.33%2.54fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.674%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.57%39.55%39.22%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.382.382.5044.44%42.09%42.02%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hanshin Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 60.67%1.65fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -2.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%60.45%60.78%61.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.561.571.6266.23%63.98%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 39.33%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 60.67%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -1.68%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.68%E -0.674%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 08:09
Pinnacle🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.47%E -0.997%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.92%E -1.83%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-03 08:50
FanDuel🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -3.26%E -1.32%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -5.35%E -3.43%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 08:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.65%E -1.49%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.31%E -1.44%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-03 08:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.65%E -1.49%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.31%E -1.44%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-03 08:40
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.65%E -1.49%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 08:00
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.65%E -1.49%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.96%E -3.84%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 08:55
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.65%E -1.49%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.96%E -3.84%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 08:55
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%EV -4.04%E -1.66%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%EV -2.92%E -1.83%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-03 08:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.35%E -3.43%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 08:10
ReBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.56%E -4.26%K -12.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 08:10
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.56%E -4.26%K -12.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 07:23
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.56%E -4.26%K -12.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 05:35
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.62%E -2.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.17%E -4.69%K -13.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 08:10
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.31%E -1.44%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 06:20
BetUS🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -2.92%E -1.83%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -6.56%E -4.26%K -12.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 08:09
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.40%E -2.69%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.17%E -4.69%K -13.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 08:09
Coolbet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -6.80%E -2.87%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -3.53%E -2.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 08:35
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.80%E -2.87%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.17%E -4.69%K -13.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 05:34
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.58%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.56%E -4.26%K -12.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 08:40
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.58%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.17%E -4.69%K -13.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 08:10
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.58%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.17%E -4.69%K -13.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 07:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.58%E -3.23%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.78%E -5.12%K -14.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 04:35
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -8.37%E -3.59%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -4.14%E -2.62%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 08:35
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -8.37%E -3.59%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 08:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -8.37%E -3.59%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 08:35
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -8.37%E -3.59%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 08:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.55%E -4.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -8.38%E -5.55%K -16.44%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 08:50
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.52%E -5.12%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.71%E -1.05%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 13:00
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.52%E -5.12%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 05:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.52%E -5.12%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 05:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.52%E -5.12%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.74%E -3.02%K -8.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 05:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.